Suche

Austerity and Private Debt

This study provides empirical evidence that the costs of austerity crucially depend on the level of private indebtedness. In particular, fiscal consolidations lead to severe contractions when implemented in high private-debt states. Contrary, fiscal consolidations have no significant effect on economic activity when private debt is low. These results are robust to alternative definitions of private-debt ...

Austeritätspolitik hat in Spanien, Portugal und Italien die Krise verschärft

Die von Spanien, Italien und Portugal zwischen 2010 und 2014 unternommenen fiskalischen Konsolidierungsanstrengungen haben entgegen ihrem Ziel nicht zu einer Reduzierung der Staatsschuldenquote dieser drei Länder geführt. Dieser Wochenbericht untersucht, warum die teilweise drastischen Ausgabenkürzungen und Steuererhöhungen erfolglos blieben und sogar spürbar zu einem Rückfall der drei betroffenen ...

Ein ausgewogener Politikmix würde bessere Ergebnisse zeigen: Interview mit Philipp Engler und Mathias Klein

Austerity Measures Amplified Crisis in Spain, Portugal, and Italy

The fiscal consolidation efforts of Spain, Italy, and Portugal from 2010 to 2014 did not achieve their goal of reducing the debt-to-GDP ratio in any of the three countries. This Economic Bulletin examines why the spending cuts and tax increases, at times drastic, were unsuccessful and perceptibly contributed to sending the three countries back into recession. The sharp decrease in private household ...

A More Balanced Policy Mix Would Be More Successful: Seven Questions for Philipp Engler and Mathias Klein

The austerity policy was counterproductive in Spain, Portugal, and Italy

DIW study showed: To some extent, drastic savings measures neutralized the effects of structural reform. The countries affected relapsed into recession without having improved their financial picture – a balanced policy mixture would have been better. The austerity measures and tax increases implemented from 2010 onwards did not reduce sovereign debt in Spain, Portugal and Italy as anticipated. ...

Macroeconomic Effects of Government Spending: The Great Recession Was (Really) Different

We estimate the effect of government spending shocks on the U.S. economy with a time‐varying parameter vector autoregression. The recent Great Recession period appears to be characterized by uniquely large impulse responses of output to fiscal shocks. Moreover, the particularity of this period is underlined by highly unusual responses of several other variables. The pattern of fiscal shock responses ...

Monetary Policy and Household Deleveraging

This study investigates the interrelation between the household leverage cycle, collateral constraints, and monetary policy. Using data on the U.S. economy, we find that a contractionary monetary policy shock leads to a large and significant fall in economic activity during periods of household deleveraging. In contrast, monetary policy shocks only have insignificant effects during a household leveraging ...

Staatsanleihen: Home Bias europäischer Banken nach wie vor hoch – Pflicht zur Kapitalhinterlegung könnte Problem noch verschärfen

Wenn Staaten und Banken gegenseitig zu abhängig voneinander sind, leidet die Stabilität des gesamten Finanzsystems. Das war eine Lehre aus der Finanz- und Staatsschuldenkrise im Euroraum. Mehr als zehn Jahre nach deren Beginn scheint es jedoch nicht gelungen, die ungünstige Verquickung von Banken und Staaten zu reduzieren: Der sogenannte Home Bias ist, wie dieser Wochenbericht zeigt, noch immer stark ...

Abhängigkeit zwischen Staat und Banken aufgrund des Home Bias