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2125 Ergebnisse, ab 1971
  • Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science

    Explaining Eastern Germany's Wage Gap: The Impact of Structural Change

    In: Post-Communist Economies 17 (2005), 4, S. 449-464 | Bernd Görzig, Martin Gornig, Axel Werwatz
  • Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science

    Thresholds for Employment and Unemployment: A Spatial Analysis of German Regional Labour Markets, 1992-2000

    This paper applies Verdoorn's and Okun's law to derive efficient estimates of the employment and unemployment threshold in the Unified Germany. The analysis is built on a disaggregated dataset of regional labour markets, where spatial dependencies are taken into account. Especially, a spatial SUR model is proposed utilising the eigenfunction decomposition approach suggested by Griffith (1996, 2000). ...

    In: Papers in Regional Science 85 (2006), 4, S. 523-542 | Reinhold Kosfeld, Christian Dreger
  • Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science

    Declining Output Volatility in Germany: Impulses, Propagation and the Role of Monetary Policy

    The decline in output volatility in Germany is analysed. A lower level of variance in an autoregressive model of output growth can be either due to a change in the structure of the economy (a change in the propagation mechanism) or a reduced error term variance (reduced impulses). In Germany the decline output volatility is due to a decline in the persistence of the growth process. This is in contrast ...

    In: Applied Economics 37 (2005), 21, S. 2445-2457 | Ulrich Fritsche, Vladimir Kuzin
  • Externe Monographien

    European Inflation Expectations Dynamics

    Frankfurt (Main): Deutsche Bundesbank, 2005, 46 S.
    (Discussion Paper Series 1 : Economic Studies ; 37/2005)
    | Jörg Döpke, Jonas Dovern, Ulrich Fritsche, Jiri Slacalek
  • Diskussionspapiere 554 / 2006

    Using the Dynamic Bi-Factor Model with Markov Switching to Predict the Cyclical Turns in the Large European Economies

    The appropriately selected leading indicators can substantially improve the forecasting of the peaks and troughs of the business cycle. Using the novel methodology of the dynamic bi-factor model with Markov switching and the data for the three largest European economies (France, Germany, and UK) we construct a composite leading indicator (CLI) and a composite coincident indicator (CCI) as well as corresponding ...

    2006| Konstantin A. Kholodilin
  • Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science

    Modeling Inflation Dynamics in Transition Economies: The Case of Ukraine

    This paper explores the dynamics of inflation in Ukraine in a period of relative macroeconomic stability. The analysis of the interrelationship among inflation, money growth, wage growth, and devaluation expectations is based on impulse responses and variance decomposition of a vector autoregression model. We find that changes in devaluation expectations appear to be the most important factor driving ...

    In: Eastern European Economics 43 (2005), 6, S. 66-81 | Boriss Siliverstovs, Olena Bilan
  • Diskussionspapiere 571 / 2006

    The Dynamics of European Inflation Expectations

    We investigate the relevance of the Carroll's sticky information model of inflation expectations for four major European economies (France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom). Using survey data on household and expert inflation expectations we argue that the model adequately captures the dynamics of household inflation expectations. We estimate two alternative parametrizations of the sticky information ...

    2006| Jörg Döpke, Jonas Dovern, Ulrich Fritsche, Jiri Slacalek
  • Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science

    A Simple, Analytically Solvable, Chamberlinian Agglomeration Model

    This paper presents a simple Chamberlinian agglomeration model which, like the canonical core-periphery (CP) model, contains two agglomerative forces. However, in contrast to that model, the present model is analytically solvable. Moreover, the present model exhibits a "supercritical pitchfork bifurcation" rather than the "subcritical pitchfork bifurcation" of the CP model. This may be a better description ...

    In: Regional Science & Urban Economics 34 (2004), 5, S. 565-573 | Michael Pflüger
  • Diskussionspapiere 615 / 2006

    Sticky Information Phillips Curves: European Evidence

    We estimate the sticky information Phillips curve model of Mankiw and Reis (2002) using survey expectations of professional forecasters from four major European economies. Our estimates imply that inflation expectations in France, Germany and the United Kingdom are updated about once a year, in Italy about once each six months.

    2006| Jörg Döpke, Jonas Dovern, Ulrich Fritsche, Jiri Slacalek
  • Diskussionspapiere 631 / 2006

    European Regional Convergence in a Human Capital Augmented Solow Model

    In this paper, the process of productivity convergence is investigated for the enlarged European Union using regional (NUTS-2) data. The Solow model extended by human capital is employed as a workhorse. Alternative strategies are proposed to control for spatial effects. All specifications confirm the presence of convergence with an annual speed between 3 and 3.5 percent towards regional steady states. ...

    2006| Hans-Friedrich Eckey, Christian Dreger, Matthias Türck
2125 Ergebnisse, ab 1971