DIW-Studie untersucht wirtschaftliche Erholung nach Naturkatastrophen in 25 Industrieländern – Bruttoinlandsprodukt, privater Konsum und Investitionstätigkeit entwickeln sich bei hoher internationaler Finanzmarktintegration besser als bei geringerer Integration – Insbesondere Finanzierung über Eigenkapital beschleunigt Erholung – EU sollte Kapitalmarktunion daher vorantreiben und entsprechende Rahmenbedingungen ...
Negative policy rates can convince markets that deposit rates will remain lower-for-longer, even when current deposit rates are constrained by zero. This is the signalling channel of negative interest rates. We analyse the optimality and effectiveness of negative rates in the context of this novel transmission channel. In a stylized model, we prove two necessary conditions for optimality: time-consistency ...
This paper provides causal evidence on the effect of credit crunches on political polarization. We combine data on bank-firm connections and electoral outcomes at the city-level during the 2008-2014 Spanish Financial Crisis. First, we show that firms in a relationship with weak banks experience a reduction in their loan supply and employment growth. Next, we estimate the effects of unemployment on ...
We examine the causal relationship between US monetary policy shocks, exchange rates and currency excess returns for a sample of eight advanced countries over the period 1980M1 to 2022M11. We find that the dynamics of the US dollar exchange rate is the main driver of currency excess returns. The exchange rate is significantly affected by US monetary policy shocks, where the persistence of this shock ...
The 4th annual Workshop for Women in Macroeconomics, Finance and Economic History is being organized by the DIW Berlin. The aim is to bring together female academic researchers and practitioners to promote and exchange ideas in the field of Macroeconomics, Finance, and Economic History. We invite contributions, including, but not limited to macroeconomic and financial stability, interactions...
Der Klimawandel kann immer weniger ignoriert werden, so dass auch die Herausforderung einer ökologischen Transformation des Finanzsektors zunenehmend an Bedeutung gewinnt. Die für den Finanzsektor diskutierten Reformpotenziale und Maßnahmenbündel erreichen jedoch absehbar nicht einmal annähernd die notwendigen gesamtwirtschaftlichen Effekte, um der Klimaerwärmung wirkungsvoll zu begegnen. Der aktuelle ...