Dr. Laura Pagenhardt

Dr. Laura Pagenhardt

Research Topics and Working Areas
Laura joined the DIW Berlin in 2018. She completed her PhD within the DIW Graduate Center and at Freie Universität Berlin and works as a Research Associate in the Macroeconomics department. Already during her doctoral studies, she contributed to the DIW's economic forecasts, where she is responsible for analyzing and forecasting investment activity in Germany. Her research interests include monetary and fiscal policy, macroeconomic forecasting, and applied econometrics. In her dissertation, she examined, among other things, how central bank communication affects consumers’ inflation expectations. She also develops and maintains the DIW Berlin Inequality Nowcast. Laura holds Bachelor’s degrees in Psychology (Heidelberg University) and Economics (Freie Universität Berlin), as well as a Master’s degree in Economics and Econometrics from the University of Edinburgh. Before and during her PhD, she gained experience at the European Central Bank, the Deutsche Bundesbank, and Norges Bank.

Publications

DIW Weekly Report 5/6 / 2026

Construction Industry Returns to Growth

2026| Christian Danne, Martin Gornig, Laura Pagenhardt
DIW Wochenbericht 5 / 2026

Öffentliches Bauvolumen expandiert kräftig, aber auch der Wohnungsbau legt zu: Interview

2026| Laura Pagenhardt, Erich Wittenberg
DIW Wochenbericht 5 / 2026

Bauwirtschaft kehrt zurück auf Wachstumskurs

2026| Christian Danne, Martin Gornig, Laura Pagenhardt
DIW Weekly Report 50 / 2025

German Economy in the Starting Blocks—Global Economy Holds Its Own

2025| Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Guido Baldi, Nina Maria Brehl, Hella Engerer, Angelina Hackmann, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Frederik Kurcz, Laura Pagenhardt, Jan-Christopher Scherer, Teresa Schildmann, Hannah Magdalena Seidl, Ruben Staffa, Kristin Trautmann, Jana Wittich
DIW Wochenbericht 50 / 2025

Deutsche Wirtschaft in den Startlöchern – Weltwirtschaft behauptet sich

2025| Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Guido Baldi, Nina Maria Brehl, Hella Engerer, Angelina Hackmann, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Frederik Kurcz, Laura Pagenhardt, Jan-Christopher Scherer, Teresa Schildmann, Hannah Magdalena Seidl, Ruben Staffa, Kristin Trautmann, Jana Wittich
Refereed essays Web of Science

Committed to Flexible Fiscal Rules

In: Journal of Monetary Economics 154 (2025), 103809, 17 S. | Chistoph Grosse-Steffen, Laura Pagenhardt, Malte Rieth
Externe Monographien

Expansive Finanzpolitik kaschiert Wachstumsschwäche: Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2025 ; Dienstleistungsauftrag des Bundesministeriums für WIrtschaft und Klimaschutz

[Wechselnde Orte]: Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2025, 91 S.
(Gemeinschaftsdiagnose / Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose ; 2/2025)
| Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Oliver Holtemöller, Nina Brehl, Britta Gehrke, Angelina Hackmann, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Laura Pagenhardt, Jan-Christopher Scherer, Teresa Schildmann, Hannah Magdalena Seidl, Ruben Staffa, Kristin Trautmann, Jana Wittich (u.a.)
Externe Monographien

Policy in Practice: Communication, Rules, and Income Inequality: Essays in Empirical Macroeconomics

Berlin: Freie Universität Berlin, 2025, XXIV, 143 S. | Laura Pagenhardt
Externe Monographien

Geopolitischer Umbruch verschärft Krise – Strukturreformen noch dringlicher: Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Frühjahr 2025 ; Dienstleistungsauftrag des Bundesministeriums für WIrtschaft und Klimaschutz

[Wechselnde Orte]: Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose, 2025, 95 S.
(Gemeinschaftsdiagnose / Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose ; 1/2025)
| Torsten Schmidt, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Guido Baldi, Nina Brehl, Angelina Hackmann, Pia Hüttl, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Laura Pagenhardt, Werner Roeger, Jan-Christopher Scherer, Teresa Schildmann, Hannah Magdalena Seidl, Ruben Staffa, Kristin Trautmann (u.a.)
Refereed essays Web of Science

Where Do They Care? The ECB in the Media and Inflation Expectations

In: Applied Economics Letters 32 (2025), 7, S. 945-950 | Vegard Høghaug Larsen, Nicolò Maffei-Faccioli, Laura Pagenhardt

Lectures

Vortrag

What’s the Story? The Media Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission to the Public

Laura Pagenhardt
Nikosia, Zypern, 07.12.2025 - 09.12.2025
| 2025 European Winter Meeting of the Econometric Society
Vortrag

Nowcasting Income Inequality in Germany

Laura Pagenhardt
Berlin, 03.07.2024
| SOEP Brown Bag Seminar
Vortrag

Committed to Flexible Fiscal Rules

Laura Pagenhardt
[Online], 26.09.2021 - 29.09.2021
| Climate Economics: Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2021; Online-Konferenz
Vortrag

Committed to Flexible Fiscal Rules

Laura Pagenhardt
[Online], 16.06.2021 - 18.06.2021
| 27th International Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance: CEF 2021; Society for Computational Economics (Online)
Vortrag

Committed to Flexible Fiscal Rules

Laura Pagenhardt
[Online], 09.06.2021 - 11.06.2021
| North American Summer Meeting of the Econometric Society: NASMES 2021 (Virtual)

Research Projects

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