Macroeconomics Department Publications

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1927 results, from 11
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Monetary Policy and Mispricing in Stock Markets

    We investigate the role of monetary policy in stock price misalignments and explore whether central banks can attenuate excessive mispricing as suggested by the proponents of a “leaning against the wind” monetary policy. Decomposing stock prices into expected excess dividends, an equity risk premium, and a mispricing component, we find that prices fall more strongly in response to an increase in the ...

    In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 56 (2024), 7, S. 1887-1904 | Kerstin Bernoth, Benjamin Beckers
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Foreign Debt, Capital Controls, and Secondary Markets: Theory and Evidence from Nazi Germany

    We investigate how internal distribution motives can affect the implementation of an important macroeconomic policy: capital controls. To do this, we study one of history’s largest debt repatriations, which took place under strict capital controls in 1930s Germany, providing a wealth of quantitative and historical evidence. We show that the authorities kept private repatriations under strict control, ...

    In: Journal of Political Economy 132 (2024), 6, S. 1793-2178 | Andrea Papadia, Claudio A. Schioppa
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    The Rise and Fall of Social Housing? Housing Decommodification in Long-run Comparison

    The comparative study of housing decommodification lags behind classical welfare state research, while housing research itself is rich in homeownership studies but lacks comparative accounts of private and social rentals due to missing comparative data. Building on existing works and various primary sources, this study presents a new collection of up to forty-eight countries’ social housing shares ...

    In: Journal of Social Policy 53 (2024), 4, S. 970–996 | Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Sebastian Kohl, Florian Müller
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Forward to the Past: Short-Term Effects of the Rent Freeze in Berlin

    In 2020, Berlin introduced a rigorous rent-control policy responding to soaring prices by capping rents: the Mietendeckel (rent freeze). The German Constitutional Court revoked the policy only one year later. Although successful in lowering rents during its duration, the consequences for Berlin’s rental market and close-by markets are per se not clear. This article evaluates the short-term causal supply-side ...

    In: Management Science 70 (2024), 3, S. 1901-1923 | Anja M. Hahn, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Sofie R. Waltl, Marco Fongoni
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Active or Passive? Revisiting the Role of Fiscal Policy during High Inflation

    We investigate the interplay of the monetary–fiscal policy mix during times of crisis by drawing insights from the Great Inflation of the 1960s and 1970s. We use a Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm to estimate a DSGE model with three distinct monetary/fiscal policy regimes. We show that, in such a model, SMC outperforms standard sampling algorithms because it is better suited to deal with multimodal ...

    In: European Economic Review 170 (2024), 104874, 16 S. | Stephanie Ettmeier, Alexander Kriwoluzky
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Weather-Related Disasters and Inflation in the Euro Area

    This article investigates the impact of weather-related disasters on inflation in the euro area over the period 1996–2021. Using a panel structural vector autoregression approach, we explore whether weather-related disasters have a significant and persistent effect on inflation, as well as the role that demand-side and supply-side channels play as drivers of inflation. We also analyse the heterogeneous ...

    In: Journal of Banking & Finance 169 (2024), 107298, 13 S. | John Beirne, Yannis Dafermos, Alexander Kriwoluzky, Nuobu Renzhi, Ulrich Volz, Jana Wittich
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Rising Allowances, Rising Rates — Can Growth Arise through Business Income Tax Reform despite Government Debt Limit?

    The system of business income taxation consists of two instruments, namely a statutory tax rate and a depreciation allowance on investment. We will show in this paper that by acting on both instruments simultaneously it is possible to achieve both a growth and a fiscal net revenue target even in cases when a trade-off prevails when each instrument is used individually.As will be shown in the paper, ...

    In: Journal of Macroeconomics 81 (2024), 103606, 20 S. | Marius Clemens, Werner Röger
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    The Effectiveness of FX Interventions: A Meta-Analysis

    There is ample empirical literature centering on the effectiveness of foreign exchange intervention (FXI). Given the mix of objectives and country-heterogeneity, the general lack of consensus thus far is no surprise. We shed light on this debate by conducting the first comprehensive meta-analysis in the FXI literature, with 279 reported effects that stem from 74 distinct empirical studies. We cover ...

    In: Journal of Financial Stability 74 (2024),100794, 24 S. | Lucía Arango-Lozano, Lukas Menkhoff, Daniela Rodríguez-Novoa, Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    The Long Way to Tax Transparency: Lessons from the Early Publishers of Country-by-Country Reports

    In this paper, we analyse a sample of voluntarily published country-by-country reports (CbCRs) of 35 multinational enterprises (MNEs). We assess the value added and the limitations of qualitative and quantitative information provided in the reports based on a comparison to individual MNEs’ annual financial reports and aggregate CbCR data provided by the OECD. In terms of data quality, we find that ...

    In: International Tax and Public Finance 31 (2024), S. 593–634 | Sarah Godar, Giulia Aliprandi, Tommaso Faccio, Petr Janský, Katia Toledo Ruiz
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Global Risk and the Dollar

    The dollar is a safe-haven currency and appreciates when global risk goes up. We investigate the dollar’s role for the transmission of global risk to the world economy within a Bayesian proxy structural vector autoregressive model. We identify global risk shocks using high-frequency asset-price surprises around narratively selected events. Global risk shocks appreciate the dollar, induce tighter global ...

    In: Journal of Monetary Economics 144 (2024), 103549, 12 S. | Georgios Georgiadis, Gernot J. Müller, Ben Schumann
1927 results, from 11
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