Forecasting and Economic Policy

The Forecasting and Economic Policy Team analyses and forecasts economic trends in Germany and its most important sales markets. They publish the monthly DIW Economic Barometer, the quarterly DIW Economic Outlook, and participate in the Joint Economic Forecast, the spring and fall reports of the leading economic research institutes. The Team analyses the consequences of economic policy interventions, such as the real economic effects as well as the distributional effects of fiscal and monetary policy stimuli. Moreover, they develop forecasting models using household microdata, such as that from SOEP, in addition to macroeconomic data. The experts on this team are sought-after contacts at ministries, institutes, parliaments, and the press.