Forecasting and Economic Policy

Departmental Focus

The Forecasting and Economic Policy Team analyses and forecasts economic trends in Germany and its most important sales markets. They publish the monthly DIW Economic Barometer, the quarterly DIW Economic Outlook, and participate in the Joint Economic Forecast, the spring and fall reports of the leading economic research institutes. The Team analyses the consequences of economic policy interventions, such as the real economic effects as well as the distributional effects of fiscal and monetary policy stimuli. Moreover, they develop forecasting models using household microdata, such as that from SOEP, in addition to macroeconomic data. The experts on this team are sought-after contacts at ministries, institutes, parliaments, and the press.

The infographic of the DIW Weekly Report 36/2025 illustrates the contributions of individual components to the overall GDP growth in Germany, measured in percentage points. It emphasizes that government consumption and investment are playing a significant role in boosting the German economy. Visual Elements: Main Heading: "Government consumption and investment providing major boost to the German economy" summarizes the central theme of the infographic. Diagram: A bar chart or similar visualization shows the contributions of different GDP components to overall GDP growth in percentage points. The x-axis represents the growth contributions in percentage points. The y-axis lists the individual components of GDP, such as private consumption, government consumption, investments, exports, and imports. Source: "DIW Economic Forecast Autumn 2025" indicates the data source. "© DIW Berlin 2025" indicates the copyright holder. Additional Information: The infographic aims to visualize the contributions of different GDP components to the overall economic growth in Germany. The use of a diagram helps to present the data in a clear and accessible manner, emphasizing the importance of government consumption and investment in driving economic growth. This description provides an overview of the representation of the contributions of individual GDP components to the German economy through the use of an infographic.

DIW-Economic Outlook

German economy poised for upturn thanks to fiscal package; Uncertainties in the global economy

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