Macroeconomics Department Publications

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  • DIW Discussion Papers 1778 / 2019

    Social Policy or Crowding-Out? Tenant Protection in Comparative Long-Run Perspective

    In the shadow of homeownership and public housing, social policy through the regulation of private rental markets is a neglected and underestimated field of social policy. This paper, therefore, presents unique new data on the development of private tenancy legislation through the binary coding of rent control, the protection of tenants from eviction, and rental housing rationing laws across more than ...

    2019| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Sebastian Kohl, Yulia Prozorova, Julien Licheron
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1768 / 2018

    Legal Harmonization, Institutional Quality, and Countries' External Positions: A Sectoral Analysis

    This paper analyzes links between institutional harmonization and bilateral portfolio debt and equity holdings at the sectoral level. Motivated by the action plan for the European Capital Markets Union, we examine the potential for legal harmonization and convergence in institutional quality to affect financial structures. Our analysis yields three key insights. First, legal harmonization across the ...

    2018| Franziska Bremus, Tatsiana Kliatskova
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1757 / 2018

    Interactions between Regulatory and Corporate Taxes: How Is Bank Leverage Affected?

    Regulatory bank levies set incentives for banks to reduce leverage. At the same time, corporate income taxation makes funding through debt more attractive. In this paper, we explore how regulatory levies affect bank capital structure, depending on corporate income taxation. Based on bank balance sheet data from 2006 to 2014 for a panel of EU-banks, our analysis yields three main results: The introduction ...

    2018| Franziska Bremus, Kirsten Schmidt, Lena Tonzer
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1755 / 2018

    Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics in ASEAN Economies

    This paper investigates the evolution of inflation dynamics in the five largest ASEAN countries between 1997 and 2017. To account for changes in the monetary policy frameworks since the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC), the analysis is based on country-specific Phillips Curves allowing for time-varying parameters. The paper finds evidence of a higher degree of forward-looking dynamics and a better anchoring ...

    2018| Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Juan Angel Garcia
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1754 / 2018

    Macroeconomic Effects of Government Spending: The Great Recession Was (Really) Different

    We estimate the effect of government spending shocks on the US economy with a time-varying parameter vector autoregression. The recent Great Recession period appears to be characterized by uniquely large impulse responses of output to fiscal shocks. Moreover, the particularity of this period is underlined by highly unusual responses of several other variables. The pattern of fiscal shock responses ...

    2018| Mathias Klein, Ludger Linnemann
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1749 / 2018

    Monetary Policy, External Instruments and Heteroskedasticity

    We develop a structural vector autoregressive framework that combines external instruments and heteroskedasticity for identification of monetary policy shocks. We show that exploiting both types of information sharpens structural inference, allows testing the relevance and exogeneity condition for instruments separately using likelihood ratio tests, and facilitates the economic interpretation of the ...

    2018| Thore Schlaak, Malte Rieth, Maximilian Podstawski
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1740 / 2018

    The Term Structure of Redenomination Risk

    This paper assesses redenomination risk in the euro area. We first estimate daily default-risk-free yield curves for French, German, and Italian bonds that can be redenominated and for bonds that cannot. Then, we extract the compensation for redenomination risk from the yield spreads between these two types of bonds. Redenomination risk primarily shows up at the short end of yield curves. At the height ...

    2018| Christian Bayer, Chi Hyun Kim, Alexander Kriwoluzky
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1739 / 2018

    The Impact of Institutions on Bank Governance and Stability: Evidence from African Countries

    This paper sheds new light on how African countries’ legal systems and institutions influence the governance and stability of their banks. We find that institutional factors, in particular the legal family of origin, political stability, contract enforcement and strength of investor protection promote central corporate governance reforms. Using a difference-in-difference approach, we also reveal that ...

    2018| Samuel Mutarindwa, Dorothea Schäfer, Andreas Stephan
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1733 / 2018

    Estimating a Latent Risk Premium in Exchange Rate Futures

    Using exchange rates futures instead of forwards completes the maturity spectrum of the correlation between the spot return and the premium. The correlation decreases with increasing maturity, presumably due to a latent risk premium. We hypothesize that the influence of the unobserved risk factor has a contract-specific risk component. Our main contribution is to control for the omitted variable bias ...

    2018| Kerstin Bernoth, Jürgen von Hagen, Casper G. de Vries
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1728 / 2018

    Liquidity Risk and Yield Spreads of Green Bonds

    This study analyses how liquidity risk affects bonds’ yield spreads after controlling for credit risk, bond-specific characteristics and macroeconomic variables. Using two liquidity estimates, LOT liquidity and the bid-ask spread, we find that, in particular, the LOT liquidity measure has explanatory power for the yield spread of green bonds. Overall, however, the impact of LOT decreases over time, implying ...

    2018| Febi Wulandari, Dorothea Schäfer, Andreas Stephan, Chen Sun
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