Macroeconomics Department Publications

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  • DIW Discussion Papers 1211 / 2012

    Do Wealthier Households Save More? The Impact of the Demographic Factor

    This paper investigates the relationship between wealth, ageing and saving behaviour of private households by using pooled cross sections of German consumption survey data. Different components of wealth are distinguished, as their impact on the savings rate is not homogeneous. On average, the effect attributed to real estate dominates the other components of wealth. In addition, the savings rate strongly ...

    2012| Ansgar Belke, Christian Dreger, Richard Ochmann
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1207 / 2012

    Forecasting the Prices and Rents for Flats in Large German Cities

    In this paper, we make multi-step forecasts of the monthly growth rates of the prices and rents for flats in 26 largest German cities. Given the small time dimension, the forecasts are done in a panel-data format. In addition, we use panel models that account for spatial dependence between the growth rates of housing prices and rents. Using a quasi out-of-sample forecasting exercise, we find that both ...

    2012| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Andreas Mense
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1200 / 2012

    Persistence and Cycles in US Hours Worked

    This paper analyses monthly hours worked in the US over the sample period 1939m1 - 2011m10 using a cyclical long memory model; this is based on Gegenbauer processes and characterised by autocorrelations decaying to zero cyclically and at a hyperbolic rate along with a spectral density that is unbounded at a non-zero frequency. The reason for choosing this specification is that the periodogram of the ...

    2012| Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis A. Gil-Alana
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1199 / 2012

    Effects of Global Liquidity on Commodity and Food Prices

    This paper investigates the relationship between global liquidity and commodity and food prices applying a global cointegrated vector-autoregressive model. We use different measures of global liquidity and various indices of commodity and food prices for the period 1980-2011. Our results support the hypothesis that there is a positive long-run relation between global liquidity and the development of ...

    2012| Ansgar Belke, Ingo G. Bordon, Ulrich Volz
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1198 / 2012

    Financial Transaction Tax Contributes to More Sustainability in Financial Markets

    We argue that a financial transaction tax complements financial market regulation. With the tax, governments have an additional instrument at hand to influence trading activity. FTT aims to reduce regulatory arbitrage, flash trading, overactive portfolio management, excessive leverage and speculative transactions of financial institutions. The focus clearly addresses these classes of activities that ...

    2012| Dorothea Schäfer
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1191 / 2012

    Internet-Based Hedonic Indices of Rents and Prices for Flats: Example of Berlin

    In this paper, we suggest to estimate the home rents and prices in German regions/cities using the data from Internet ads offering the housing for rent and sale. Given the richness of information contained in the ads, we are able to construct the quality-adjusted rent and price indices using the hedonic approach. The results can be applied both for investigating the dynamics of rents/prices and for ...

    2012| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Andreas Mense
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1186 / 2012

    Long Memory in German Energy Price Indices

    This study examines the long-memory properties of German energy price indices (specifically, import and export prices, as well as producer and consumer prices) for hard coal, lignite, mineral oil and natural gas adopting a fractional integration modelling framework. The analysis is undertaken using monthly data from January 2000 to August 2011. The results suggest nonstationary long memory in the series ...

    2012| Carlos P. Barros, Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis A. Gil-Alana
  • DIW Roundup 141 / 2022

    The Impact of the War on the Economic Development of Ukraine

    As of summer 2022, the war in Ukraine has lasted more than three months, caused the deaths of thousands of people, and ruined the lives of millions. It has impacted the world economy and affected Ukraine severely, ruining industries as well as causing massive migration, a decrease in household income, and an increase in the budget deficit and government debt. As the war continues, it will deepen the ...

    2022| Nataliia Slaviuk, Tetiana Bui
  • DIW Roundup 139 / 2022

    Rent Control Effects through the Lens of Empirical Research

    Rent control is a highly debated social policy that has been omnipresent since World War I. Since 2010s, it has been experiencing a true renaissance, for many cities and countries facing housing shortage are desperately looking for solutions of the chronic housing shortage and direct their attention to controlling housing rents and to other restrictive policies. Is rent control useful or does it create ...

    2022| Konstantin A. Kholodilin
  • DIW Roundup 134 / 2019

    Handlungsspielraum der EZB - von Zinspolitik bis Helikoptergeld

    Deklariertes Ziel der EZB-Geldpolitik ist primär Preisstabilität in der Eurozone. Angesichts der ernüchternden Wachstumsprognosen und des konjunkturellen Abschwungs in Europa signalisierte nun der abgehende EZB-Chef Mario Draghi weitere Schritte zur Lockerung der Geldpolitik, um anhaltend niedrige Inflationsraten zu vermeiden. Die EZB verfügt dabei über ein ganzes Spektrum konventioneller und unkonventioneller ...

    2019| Jan Philipp Fritsche, Lea Steininger
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