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Publications of the Project: Great Expectations? Germany's Recovery from the Great Depression, 1932-1936

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  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Inflation Expectations and the Recovery from the Great Depression in Germany

    A regime shift toward increased inflation expectations is credited with jump-starting the recov- ery from the Great Depression in the United States. What role did inflation expectations play in Germany that experienced a similarly successful economic upturn in the 1930s? We study infla- tion expectations in the German recovery across several methods: we conduct a narrative study of media sources; we estimate ...

    In: Explorations in Economic History 75 (2020), 101305, 18 S. | Volker Daniel, Lucas ter Steege
  • Externe Monographien

    Inflation Expectations and the Recovery from the Great Depression in Germany

    A regime shift towards increased in inflation expectations is credited with jumpstarting the recovery from the Great Depression in the United States. Germany experienced a recovery as fast and strong in the 1930s. What role did inflation expectations play at the start of this remarkable economic upturn? To answer this question, we study inflation expectations in Germany across two different methods: ...

    Berlin: HU Berlin, 2018, 45 S.
    (Working Papers of the Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation: Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour" ; 6)
    | Volker Daniel, Lucas ter Steege
  • Externe Monographien

    Fictional Expectations and the Global Media in the Greek Debt Crisis: A Topic Modeling Approach

    We study the role of global media during the Greek debt crisis and relate it to the transmission of events on financial actors' expectations. To identify news coverage about the Greek debt crisis, we apply topic modeling to a newly compiled dataset of over 430,000 articles from The International New York Times and Financial Times from 2009 to 2015. We identify a Greek debt crisis topic and relate it ...

    Berlin: HU Berlin, 2018, 47 S.
    (Working Papers of the Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation: Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour" ; 4)
    | Volker Daniel, Magnus Neubert, Agnes Orban
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