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Interest Rates, Convenience Yields, and Inflation Expectations: Drivers of US Dollar Exchange Rates

Using a data-driven approach to identify structural vector autoregressive models, we examine key factors influencing the US dollar exchange rate across eight advanced economies from 1980 to 2022. We find that shocks to inflation expectations, which are closely tied to unfunded government transfer payments, have a pronounced effect on the US dollar’s value. This underscores the fiscal dimension of exchange ...

Workshop on Entrepreneurship and Management

In the workshop on entrepreneurship and management at DIW Berlin, scientists discuss research results from the areas of entrepreneurship, innovation and management. The two-day event includes presentations and discussions on entrepreneurial human capital, the impact of technological progress on companies, strategies for the resilience of startups and the dynamics of innovation.

Is There a Desired Added Worker Effect? Evidence from Involuntary Job Losses

While the existing evidence on added worker effects is mixed, most studies find no or only small effects. However, studies to date have mostly analyzed individuals’ actual labor supply responses to their partners’ job loss, neglecting to consider a potential mismatch between desired and actual labor supply adjustments. Using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), we study individuals’ changes ...

Sufficiency as a “Strategy of the Enough”: Curbing Ecological Crises and Injustices: A Summary of the German Advisory Council on the Environment’s Discussion Paper

A recent discussion paper Sufficiency as a “Strategy of the Enough”: A Necessary Debate by the German Advisory Council on the Environment (SRU) aims to intensify the debate on sufficiency, a central but neglected element of future-oriented policy. It defines sufficiency as the need to limit the consumption and production of ecologically critical goods and services, mainly by the economically rich, ...

From Feeling Depressed to Getting Diagnosed: Determinants of a Diagnosis of Depression after Experiencing Symptoms

Receiving a formal diagnosis for a depressive disorder is a prerequisite for getting treatment, yet the illness inherently complicates care-seeking. Thus, understanding the process from depression symptoms to diagnosis is crucial. Aims: This study aims to disentangle (1) risk factors for depression symptoms from (2) facilitators and barriers to receiving a diagnosis after experiencing depression symptoms. ...

How to increase employment of the elderly

Investigation of Dog Ownership and Physical Activity on Weekdays and Weekends Using Longitudinal Data from the SOEP Cohort

This study examines the association between dog ownership over a period of 5 years (always, sometimes and no ownership) with physical activity on weekdays and weekends over a period of 6 years using the nationally representative German Socio-Economic Panel. Participants were asked if they had any pets and how many hours they spend on sports, fitness, and exercise. We hypothesized that the length of ...

Any Questions concerning our PhD Program?

Join our Open Info Hour! Are you considering applying to the DIW Graduate Center's structured PhD program? This is your chance to learn more about our program, ask questions, and connect directly with our team. Discover how you can benefit from excellent academic training, a vibrant research environment, and a full-time scholarship. We look forward to meeting you! Tuesday, December 17, 9:30-10:30 ...

The Distribution of National Income in Germany, 1992-2019

This paper analyzes the distribution and composition of pre-tax national income in Germany since 1992, combining personal income tax returns, household survey data, and national accounts. Inequality rose from the 1990s to the late 2000s due to falling labor incomes among the bottom 50% and rising incomes in the top 10%. This trend reversed after 2007 as labor incomes across the bottom 90% increased. ...

Does Cognitive Reflection Relate to Preferences and Socio-Economic Outcomes?

Cognitive abilities are associated with key preferences and socio-economic outcomes. One of the most frequently studied cognitive abilities is cognitive reflection, the ability to avoid intuitive but potentially wrong decisions by switching to a more analytical mindset. Using rich panel data in this pre-registered study, we show that stronger cognitive reflection is significantly associated with more ...