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Education, Expectations, and the Economy: Four Essays in Education and Labor Economics

Diese Dissertation umfasst vier eigenständige Kapitel, die zur Literatur in der BildungsundArbeitsmarktökonomie beitragen. Sie zeigen auf, welche Determinanten zu denLohnerwartungen von Abiturienten beitragen (Kapitel 1) und wie diese Erwartungenzusammen mit Arbeitsmarktbedingungen zum Zeitpunkt des Abiturs (Kapitel2), Studiengangsrankings (Kapitel 3) und Studiengebühren (Kapitel 4) nachschulischeHumankapitalinvestitionen ...

Power Sector Impacts of a Simultaneous European Heat Pump Rollout

The decarbonization of buildings requires the phase-out of fossil fuel heating systems. Heat pumps are considered a crucial technology to supply a substantial part of heating energy for buildings. Yet, their introduction is not without challenges, as heat pumps generate additional electricity demand as well as peak loads. To better understand these challenges, an ambitious simultaneous heat pump rollout ...

Fabian Seyrich has successfully defended his dissertation

We congratulate Fabian Seyrich on successfully defending his dissertation on 9 July 2024.The title of the thesis was ‘Five Essays in Macroeconomics’ and he was supervised by Prof Dr Alexander Kriwoluzky and Prof Dr Christian Bayer. Fabian will remain with DIW and the Macroeconomics Department for part of the time. From 15 August 2024, he will also take up a new position as Assistant Professor at the ...

Trajectories of School Absences across Compulsory Schooling and Their Impact on Children’s Academic Achievement: An Analysis Based on Linked Longitudinal Survey and School Administrative Data

Prior research has identified that school absences harm children’s academic achievement. However, this literature is focused on brief periods or single school years and does not consistently account for the dynamic nature of absences across multiple school years. This study examined dynamic trajectories of children’s authorised and unauthorised absences throughout their compulsory school career in ...

Who Is AI Replacing? The Impact of Generative AI on Online Freelancing Platforms

This paper studies the impact of generative artificial intelligence (AI) technologies on the demand for online freelancers using a large data set from a leading global freelancing platform. We identify the types of jobs that are more affected by generative AI and quantify the magnitude of the heterogeneous impact. Our findings indicate a 21% decrease in the number of job posts for automation-prone ...

Career penalties of long term-care provision

It is the aim of the project to analyze the labor market consequences of informal care provision. For the identification we follow the literature on childcare penalties (see Kleven et al. 2019) to quantify the short- and long-run career costs of childcare. Rellstab et al. (2020) for the Netherlands and Halla et al. (2021) for Austria have applied this framework to estimate the career effects for...

Data Release: The first Scientific Use File of the IAB-BiB/FReDA-BAMF-SOEP Survey “Refugees from Ukraine in Germany” is now available

The IAB-BiB/FReDA-BAMF-SOEP Survey "Refugees from Ukraine in Germany" examines diverse aspects of Ukrainian refugees’ lives—the circumstances surrounding their departure from Ukraine, comprehensive socio-demographic characteristics, and information on housing, school, vocational and university degrees, employment, German language skills, life satisfaction and worries, family constellations before and ...

SOEP Annual Report 2023

Early Childcare Expansion and Maternal Health

This paper estimates the causal effect of increased availability of early childcare on maternal health. We focus on a substantial expansion of childcare for children under three years in West Germany from 2006 to 2019. By matching county-level childcare attendance rates with individual data from the German Socio-Economic Panel Study (SOEP), we are able to quantify the effects of this expansion on maternal ...

New Trade Models, Same Old Emissions?

This paper investigates the elusive role of productivity heterogeneity in new trade models in the trade and environment nexus. We contrast the Eaton-Kortum and the Melitz models with firm heterogeneity to the Armington and Krugman models without heterogeneity. We show that if firms have a constant emission share in terms of sales — as they do in a wide range of trade and environment models — the...