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Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung 1 / 2020
Im Zuge der globalen Finanzkrise wurden erhebliche Forschungsanstrengungen unternommen, um die Zusammenhänge zwischen der Verschuldung der privaten Haushalte, den Risiken für die Finanzstabilität und den anhaltenden Auswirkungen des ,Schuldenüberhangs‘ auf das Wirtschaftswachstum besser zu verstehen. Die genaue Messung der Schuldenlast der privaten Haushalte bleibt jedoch problematisch. Aggregierte ...
2020| Damon Gibbons
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Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung 1 / 2020
Wucher ist ein häufiges Phänomen auf den Verbraucherkreditmärkten und betrifft insbesondere Haushalte mit niedrigem Einkommen. Obwohl der Begriff Wucher Bilder eines gierigen Individuums beschwört, das bewusst handelt, um die schwache Verhandlungsposition eines anderen mit irreführenden und sogar betrügerischen Mitteln auszunutzen, betrachten wir ihn als systemisches Problem: als ein Problem der sozialen ...
2020| Doris Neuberger, Udo Reifner
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DIW Weekly Report 12 / 2020
The ongoing corona pandemic is causing a major shock to the global economy. In the coming months, many countries are expected to suffer severe economic downturns. Sealing off entire regions disrupts supply chains, resulting in production losses and falls in consumption. The global economy is expected to grow by as little as 2.5 percent this year instead of by the 3.7 percent forecasted previously. ...
2020| Claus Michelsen, Guido Baldi, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Hella Engerer, Stefan Gebauer, Malte Rieth
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DIW Weekly Report 12 / 2020
The spread of the coronavirus worldwide is exerting considerable pressure on the economy. Compounded by the lack of quality data, model uncertainty, and uncertainty over government responses, economic forecasts are subject to even greater uncertainty than usual. It is difficult to predict how the pandemic will progress. Figures on the impact of the virus, obtained by comparing it with previous epidemics, ...
2020| Claus Michelsen, Marius Clemens, Max Hanisch, Simon Junker, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Thore Schlaak
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Blog Marcel Fratzscher
It is in the interest of every EU member state that countries in the Union hit by the coronavirus are able to take the necessary measures to control the pandemic and deal with the economic consequences without being constrained, and to do so very quickly. This column proposes a Covid credit line in the European Stability Mechanism, with allocation across member states proportionate to the severity ...
23.03.2020| Marcel Fratzscher
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DIW Discussion Papers 1855 / 2020
As part of its Green Deal, the European Commission is considering the introduction of border carbon adjustments and alternative measures. The measures, which would primarily apply to basic materials like steel and cement, pursue a double objective: they are aimed at enhancing the effectiveness of carbon pricing for the transition to climate neutrality but also at avoiding carbon leakage risks. When ...
2020| Roland Ismer, Karsten Neuhoff, Alice Pirlot
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DIW Discussion Papers 1854 / 2020
Evidence on the effectiveness of FX interventions is either limited to short horizons or hampered by debatable identification. We address these limitations by identifying a structural vector autoregressive model for the daily frequency with an external instrument. Generally, we find, for freely floating currencies, that FX intervention shocks significantly affect exchange rates and that this impact ...
2020| Lukas Menkhoff, Malte Rieth, Tobias Stöhr
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SOEPpapers
The SOEPpapers are the chief platform for publishing research results based on SOEP data. As SOEP is a multidisciplinary panel, the SOEPpapers publishes work from all social scientific disciplines. SOEPpapers are published on a non-exclusive basis, thereby allowing authors to publish their articles elsewhere if they wish. SOEP encourages that all papers appear in other professional, institutional, ...
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DIW Discussion Papers 1853 / 2020
Incentives for industrial loads to provide demand response on day-ahead and reserve markets are affected both by network tariffs, as well as regulations on the provision of flexibility in different markets. This paper uses a numerical model of the chlor-alkali process with a storable intermediate good to investigate how these factors affect the provision of demand response in these markets. We also ...
2020| Jörn C. Richstein, Seyed Saeed Hosseinioun
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SOEPpapers 1077 / 2020
This article examines heterogeneity in the effect of unemployment on social participation. Whereas existing studies on this relationship essentially estimate mean effects, we use quantile regression methods to provide a broader and more complete picture. To ac-count for the potential endogeneity of job loss, we estimate quantile treatment effects (on the treated) based on entropy balancing and focus ...
2020| Lars Kunze, Nicolai Suppa