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  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Flipping a Coin: Evidence from University Applications

    We empirically investigate the possibility that a decision maker prefers to avoid making a decision and instead delegates it to an external device, e.g., a coin flip. A large data set from the centralized clearinghouse for university admissions in Germany shows a choice pattern of applicants that is consistent with coin flipping and that entails substantial consequences for the matching outcome. In ...

    In: Journal of Public Economics 167 (2018), S. 240-250 | Nadja Dwenger, Dorothea Kübler, Georg Weizsäcker
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Competitive Escalation and Interventions

    Competitive escalation occurs frequently in managerial environments, when decisions create sunk costs and decision makers compete under time pressure. In a series of experiments using a minimal dollar auction paradigm, we test interventions to prevent competitive escalation. Without any intervention, most people, including experienced managers, escalate and lose money by bidding more than the price ...

    In: Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 31 (2018), 5, S. 695-714 | Sebastian Hafenbrädl, Jan K. Woike
  • SOEPpapers 1008 / 2018

    University Tuition Fees and High School Students’ Educational Intentions

    This paper studies whether higher education tuition fees influence the intention to acquire a university degree among high school students and, if so, whether the effect on individuals from low-income households is particularly strong. We analyze the introduction and subsequent elimination of university tuition fees in Germany across states and over time in a difference-in-differences setting. Using data ...

    2018| Michael Bahrs, Thomas Siedler
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1783 / 2019

    Where Does the Fairtrade Money Go? How Much Consumers Pay Extra for Fairtrade Coffee and How This Value Is Split along the Value Chain

    Fairtrade certification aims at transferring wealth from the consumer to the farmer; however, coffee passes through many hands before reaching final consumers. Bringing together retail, wholesale, and stock market data, this study estimates how much more consumers are paying for Fairtrade-certified coffee in US supermarkets and finds estimates around $1 per lb. I then assess how this price premium ...

    2019| Helene Naegele
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    The Impact of Including Service Quality into Efficiency Analysis: The Case of Franchising Regional Rail Passenger Serves in Germany

    Based on a 12 years panel data set for franchised regional rail services, this paper studies the impact of including service quality into an analysis of efficiency differences between the German public transport authorities (PTAs) in using their available public funds. The analysis employs a two-stage efficiency analysis with a Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) in the first stage and a Tobit panel model ...

    In: Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice 119 (2019), S. 284-300 | Heike Link
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1782 / 2019

    Global Futures of Energy, Climate, and Policy: Qualitative and Quantitative Foresight towards 2055

    Existing long-term energy and climate scenarios are typically a rather simple extrapolation of past trends. Both qualitative and quantitative outlooks co-exist, but they often focus narrowly on individual perspectives, which is opposed to the interlinked and complex nature of energy and climate. Therefore, this study presents a set of novel and multidisciplinary narratives that give insight into four ...

    2019| Dawud Ansari, Franziska Holz, Hasan Basri Tosun
  • Graduate Center Short Course

    Behavioral Industrial Organization

    On March 14, the event will take place at the Elinor Ostrom Hall. On March 18 and 19, the event will take place at the Anna J. Schwartz Room 5.2.010.

    14.03.2019| Paul Heidhues
  • Graduate Center Short Course

    Business Cycle Models with Heterogeneous Agents

    Dates: 15.04.2019 - 16.04.2019 and 23.04.2019 - 24.04.2019  

    15.04.2019| Christian Bayer
  • Graduate Center Short Course

    Causal Inference and Machine Learning

    Location: University of Potsdam, Campus Griebnitzsee, Room 3.06.H01 The content is tailored towards PhD candidates and early career researchers. Registration via workshop@empwifo.uni-potsdam.de by August 1, 2019.

    09.09.2019| Guido Imbens, Stanford Graduate School of Business
  • Refereed essays Web of Science

    Politicians’ Promotion Incentives and Bank Risk Exposure in China

    This paper shows that politicians’ pressure to climb the career ladder increases bank risk exposure in their region. Chinese local politicians are set growth targets in their region that are relative to each other. Growth is stimulated by debt-financed programs which are mainly financed via bank loans. The stronger the performance pressure the riskier the respective local bank exposure becomes. This ...

    In: Journal of Banking & Finance 99 (2019), S. 63-94 | Li Wang, Lukas Menkhoff, Michael Schröder, Xian Xu
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