Members of the Macroeconomics Department are part of the European Parliament's Monetary Policy Experts Panel. Under the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union (TFEU), the ECB is accountable to the European Parliament. Quarterly meetings between the President of the ECB and the European Parliament's ECON Committee are known as the Monetary Dialogue. As part of this dialogue, we provide...
The aim of this project is to use innovative approaches and heterogeneous data sources to advance research on forecasting economic development, predicting turning points and determining economic cycles. The first work package provides a comprehensive overview in the field of automated text analysis, the use of media data in the economic forecast and the methods of forecast evaluation, as well as...
The Bonn Intervention Panel (BIP) investigates the development of personality and preferences of children starting at the primary school age until age 25 and beyond. Main focus of our study is the impact of early childhood environment. In particular, we experimentally vary the childhood environment in our sample by giving a randomly chosen subgroup of the sample the opportunity to take part in a...
We propose a new instrument to identify the impact of uncertainty shocks in a SVAR model with external instruments. We construct the instrument for uncertainty shocks by exploiting variations in the price of gold around selected events. The events capture periods of changes in uncertainty unrelated to other macroeconomic shocks. The variations in the price of gold around such events provide a measure ...
The majority of OECD member states promote companies’ research and development (R&D) activities by providing project funding. Recently, in many countries, tax incentives have also begun to play an increasingly important role. The present study examines the level of R&D support in 18 OECD countries and explores how efficient the system of funding actually is. The main findings show that in the majority ...
Mr. Brenke, you’ve been conducting research on working from home in Germany. DIW Berlin produced a similar study two years ago. What distinguishes the recent study from the previous one? The main difference is that we now have data on how many people would actually be able to work from home, given their employment conditions. We didn’t have this information last time. Of course, someone ...
The majority of OECD member states promote companies’ research and development (R&D) activities by providing project funding. Recently, in many countries, tax incentives have also begun to play an increasingly important role. The present study examines the level of R&D support in 18 OECD countries and explores how efficient the system of funding actually is. The main findings show that ...
