Search

DIW Economic Outlook Summer 2026

Energy price shock slows German economy— Global growth remains moderate German Economy Global Economy Links and Downloads Energy price shock triggered by the Iran War stalls the nascent recovery of the German economy—technical recession expected around mid-year Deep downturn comparable to 2022/23 remains unlikely—shock is smaller, energy supply remains secure, and expansionary fiscal policy provides ...

Lorenz Meister has successfully defended his dissertation

Lorenz Meister, Research Associate in the SOEP Department, successfully defended his dissertation entitled “Essays on Economic Beliefs, Risk Preferences, and Political Attitudes in Contemporary Democracies” on June 18, 2026. He was supervised by Carsten Schröder and Panu Poutvaara. Congratulations!

Which industrial strategy for European technology leadership in defence and deterrence: DIW-OECD Industrial Strategy Dialogue

With shifting geopolitical tectonics Europe is in urgent need to build autonomy in defence and deterrence. As military spending is increasing significantly, Germany and Europe need an industrial strategy that helps the continent build a stronger and more independent role in developing modern defence and dual use technologies, foster competition and innovation and expand European defence production...

Does Having Daughters Affect Political Preferences? Using Meta-Analytic Tools on Many Surveys

This study investigates whether having daughters impacts political preferences and whether this effect varies across European countries. We estimate effect sizes for 39 countries in the European Social Survey (n = 156,236) and aggregate estimates using random-effects meta-analysis, following a preregistered analysis plan. We find significant evidence that having daughters increases the preference for ...

Recovery of the German economy weaker than expected in the spring forecast

Quantitative Trade with Ships

This paper highlights an underexplored margin of heterogeneity that shapes resilience to disruptions in global shipping - the differential reliance of countries and sectors on specific categories of vessels. We combine US bills of lading records with ship registry and AIS-based port call data to document new stylized facts on vessel deployment, including switching patterns across ships, country specialization ...

An Advanced Reliability Reserve Incentivizes Flexibility Investments while Safeguarding the Electricity Market

To ensure security of supply in the power sector, many countries are considering capacity mechanisms. Simultaneously, the expansion of variable renewables increases the need for power sector flexibility, with promising options on the demand side. We analyze how a centralized capacity market and an advanced reliability reserve with a moderately high activation price affect demand-side flexibility investments ...

Quantitative Trade with Ships

This paper highlights an underexplored margin of heterogeneity that shapes resilience to disruptions in global shipping - the differential reliance of countries and sectors on specific categories of vessels. We combine US bills of lading records with ship registry and AIS-based port call data to document new stylized facts on vessel deployment, including switching patterns across ships, country specialization ...

Defending autonomy: Which industrial strategy for European technology leadership in defence and deterrence

With shifting geopolitical tectonics Europe is in urgent need to build autonomy in defence and deterrence. As military spending is increasing significantly, Germany and Europe need an industrial strategy that helps the continent build a stronger and more independent role in developing modern defence and dual use technologies, foster competition and innovation and expand European defence production...

The Effects of Government Interventions on Housing Market: A Meta-Study of Empirical Literature

Housing markets are affected by a wide variety of factors. Among them, governmental regulations play an important role. Besides desired effects, all these policies exert a number of side effects, even offsetting the desired effects. In addition, different policies can cancel out each other. Therefore, it is important to be aware of the effects of individual policies and the composite effects resulting ...