The German economy is emerging from the trough and is likely to regain some momentum over the next two years. Following stagnation in the first half of the year, the Joint Economic Forecast project group predicts gross domestic product growth of 0.2 percent for the current year in its fall report. In the next two years, an expansionary fiscal policy is likely to accelerate economic growth noticeably ...
Many high-income economies strive to integrate recently immigrated refugees and asylum-seekers into their labor markets. We contribute to the discussion of relevant policy tools and use rich survey data that are matched to precise administrative records on refugee immigrants to Germany. We study the impact of occupational recognition decisions on refugee outcomes. Applying a difference-in...
This paper investigates the long-run consequences of a later school entry for personality traits. For identification, we exploit the statutory cutoff rules for school enrollment in Germany within a regression discontinuity design. We find that relatively older school starters have persistently lower levels of neuroticism in adulthood. This effect is entirely driven by women, which has important...
Populist parties use narratives about social injustice to portray climate policy as elite-driven and socially unjust. This study— based on a survey experiment with some 1,600 participants— examines how three common narratives about the costs associated with climate policy affect populist and climate-populist attitudes. The results show that the narrative highlighting the disproportionate burden on ...
Presentation of the World Economic Outlook Chapter on industrial policies by Mehdi Maxime Benatiya Andaloussi on the 28th of October 2025 from 9-10.30 am.