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Refereed essays Web of Science
This paper investigates how the withdrawal of banks from their cross-border business impacted the borrowing costs of European firms since the crisis. We combine aggregate information on total and cross-border credit with firm-level survey data for the period 2010 - 2014. We find that the decline in cross-border lending led to a deterioration in the borrowingconditions of small firms. In countries with ...
In:
Journal of International Money and Finance
80 (2018), S. 35-58
| Franziska Bremus, Katja Neugebauer
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Refereed essays Web of Science
We analyze the welfare effects of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) between the United States (US) and the European Union (EU). Earlier TTIP studies analyze welfare effects in a framework where output and welfare coincide. We believe that the utility function of households, which depends on consumption and employment, is the best criterion for assessing TTIP. We measure the ...
In:
Economic Modelling
70 (2018), S. 230-238
| Philipp Engler, Juha Tervala
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Refereed essays Web of Science
The paper estimates the dynamic impact of structural oil market shocks on the balance sheet of US firms, using industry level data covering manufacturing, trade and mining sectors. For manufacturing firms, findings indicate that an unexpected disruption in oil supply that raises oil prices by 1% lowers firm profits by 1.3% on impact. On the other hand, profits rise by 0.39% in response to the same ...
In:
Journal of Banking & Finance
95 (2018), S. 112-127
| Khalid ElFayoumi
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Refereed essays Web of Science
Using a laboratory experiment, we present first evidence that social image concerns causally reduce the take-up of an individually beneficial transfer. Our design manipulates the informativeness of the take-up decision by varying whether transfer eligibility is based on ability or luck, and how the transfer is financed. We find that subjects avoid the inference both of being low-skilled (ability stigma) ...
In:
Journal of Public Economics
168 (2018), S. 174-192
| Jana Friedrichsen, Tobias König, Renke Schmacker
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Refereed essays Web of Science
In this article, we examine whether the local indicators are able to predict the city-level housing prices and rents better than national indicators. For this purpose, we assess the forecasting ability of 126 indicators and 21 types of forecast combinations using a sample of 71 large German cities. There are several predictors that are especially useful, namely price-to-rent ratios, national-level ...
In:
Applied Economics
49 (2017), 42, S. 4271-4297
| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Boriss Siliverstovs
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Refereed essays Web of Science
This article analyses the determinants of Chinese foreign direct investment (FDI) activities in the European Union (EU). Evidence is based on panel Poisson models drawing on two investment monitors at the individual project level. Greenfield investments (GI) and mergers and acquisitions (M&A) are distinguished. The findings indicate that market size and bilateral trade are the main factors for Chinese ...
In:
Applied Economics
49 (2017), 42, S. 4231-4240
| Christian Dreger, Yun Schüler-Zhou, Margot Schüller
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Refereed essays Web of Science
Concerns about global warming and growing scarcity of fossil fuels require substantial changes in energy consumption patterns and energy systems, as targeted by many countries around the world. One key element to achieve such transformation is to increase energy efficiency of the housing stock. In this context, it is frequently argued that private investments are too low in the light of the potential ...
In:
Urban Studies
54 (2017), 14, S. 3218-3238
| Claus Michelsen, Andreas Mense, Konstantin Kholodilin
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Refereed essays Web of Science
This study provides empirical evidence that the costs of austerity crucially depend on the level of private indebtedness. In particular, fiscal consolidations lead to severe contractions when implemented in high private-debt states. Contrary, fiscal consolidations have no significant effect on economic activity when private debt is low. These results are robust to alternative definitions of private-debt ...
In:
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
49 (2017), 7, S. 1555-1585
| Mathias Klein
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Refereed essays Web of Science
In an uncertain world, decisions by market participants are based on expectations. Therefore, sentiment indicators reflecting expectations have a proven track record at predicting economic variables. However, survey respondents largely perceive the world through media reports. Here, we want to make use of that. We employ a rich dataset provided by Media Tenor International, based on sentiment analysis ...
In:
Journal of Forecasting
36 (2017), 5, S. 483-496
| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Dirk Ulbricht, Tobias Thomas
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Refereed essays Web of Science
Euro area countries and Japan are confronted with similar challenges. Potential output is on a declining trend in the Euro area, and the decrease started well before the financial crisis. In Japan, low-output growth is a striking feature since many years, despite the unconventional monetary policy stance and numerous fiscal stimulus programs provided by the government. According to a growth accounting ...
In:
Asia Europe Journal
15 (2017), 4, S. 363-375
| Christian Dreger