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Refereed essays Web of Science
The dollar is a safe-haven currency and appreciates when global risk goes up. We investigate the dollar’s role for the transmission of global risk to the world economy within a Bayesian proxy structural vector autoregressive model. We identify global risk shocks using high-frequency asset-price surprises around narratively selected events. Global risk shocks appreciate the dollar, induce tighter global ...
In:
Journal of Monetary Economics
144 (2024), 103549, 12 S.
| Georgios Georgiadis, Gernot J. Müller, Ben Schumann
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Refereed essays Web of Science
The system of business income taxation consists of two instruments, namely a statutory tax rate and a depreciation allowance on investment. We will show in this paper that by acting on both instruments simultaneously it is possible to achieve both a growth and a fiscal net revenue target even in cases when a trade-off prevails when each instrument is used individually.As will be shown in the paper, ...
In:
Journal of Macroeconomics
81 (2024), 103606, 20 S.
| Marius Clemens, Werner Röger
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Refereed essays Web of Science
levelsof all goods in the US and Europe rose surprisingly quickly and persistently. TheFED began in March 2022 and the ECB in July 2022 with historically unique interestrate increases to combat the wage-price spiral that had not yet begun. In this article weshow that energy, commodities and food were the main drivers of inflation. For this reason,central banks’ goal of weakening demand for labor through ...
In:
Eurasian Economic Review
14 (2024), S. 235–254
| Dorothea Schäfer, Willi Semmler
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Refereed essays Web of Science
How does a monetary union alter the impact of business cycle shocks at the household level? We develop a Heterogeneous Agent New Keynesian model of two countries (HANK) and show in closed form that a monetary union shifts the adjustment to a shock horizontally across countries, within the brackets of the union-wide wealth distribution, rather than vertically, that is, across the brackets of the union-wide ...
In:
Journal of Monetary Economics
147 (2024), 103579, 15 S.
| Christian Bayer, Alexander Kriwoluzky, Gernot J. Müller, Fabian Seyrich
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Refereed essays Web of Science
This article investigates the impact of weather-related disasters on inflation in the euro area over the period 1996–2021. Using a panel structural vector autoregression approach, we explore whether weather-related disasters have a significant and persistent effect on inflation, as well as the role that demand-side and supply-side channels play as drivers of inflation. We also analyse the heterogeneous ...
In:
Journal of Banking & Finance
169 (2024), 107298, 13 S.
| John Beirne, Yannis Dafermos, Alexander Kriwoluzky, Nuobu Renzhi, Ulrich Volz, Jana Wittich
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Refereed essays Web of Science
We investigate the interplay of the monetary–fiscal policy mix during times of crisis by drawing insights from the Great Inflation of the 1960s and 1970s. We use a Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm to estimate a DSGE model with three distinct monetary/fiscal policy regimes. We show that, in such a model, SMC outperforms standard sampling algorithms because it is better suited to deal with multimodal ...
In:
European Economic Review
170 (2024), 104874, 16 S.
| Stephanie Ettmeier, Alexander Kriwoluzky
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Refereed essays Web of Science
This study investigates whether public procurement mitigates or exacerbates innovative enterprises’ financial constraints. We distinguish between general and environmentally beneficial innovative enterprises. Theory suggests that the treatment effects of public procurement, particularly when mediated by the demand-pull effect, may lower a company’s funding constraints for innovation. We test this theory ...
In:
Small Business Economics
62 (2024), S. 939–959
| Dorothea Schäfer, Andres Stephan, Sören Fuhrmeister
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Refereed essays Web of Science
This paper assesses the role of the housing market in the transmission of monetary policy across euro area regions. By exploiting a novel regional dataset on housing-related variables, a structural panel VAR analysis shows that conventional and unconventional monetary policy shocks propagate effectively to the economy, particularly to the housing sector, albeit in a heterogeneous fashion across regions. ...
In:
European Economic Review
171 (2025), 104897, 25 S.
| Niccolò Battistini, Matteo Falagiarda, Angelina Hackmann, Moreno Roma
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Refereed essays Web of Science
There is ample empirical literature centering on the effectiveness of foreign exchange intervention (FXI). Given the mix of objectives and country-heterogeneity, the general lack of consensus thus far is no surprise. We shed light on this debate by conducting the first comprehensive meta-analysis in the FXI literature, with 279 reported effects that stem from 74 distinct empirical studies. We cover ...
In:
Journal of Financial Stability
74 (2024),100794, 24 S.
| Lucía Arango-Lozano, Lukas Menkhoff, Daniela Rodríguez-Novoa, Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas
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Refereed essays Web of Science
We study the dynamic interaction between COVID-19, economic mobility, and containment policy. We use Bayesian panel structural vector autoregressions with daily data for 44 countries, identified through traditional and narrative sign restrictions. We find that incidence shocks and containment shocks have large and persistent effects on mobility, morbidity, and mortality that last for one to two months. ...
In:
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
15 (2023), 4, S. 217–248
| Annika Camehl, Malte Rieth