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DIW Discussion Papers 2148 / 2025
Do trade dependencies leave countries vulnerable to geopolitical coercion? We study the economic costs of trade and financial sanctions, from 1920 to the present. We first develop a continuous measure of sanction intensity, using bilateral commodity-level data to calculate the importance of specific flows that fall under sanctions. We find that sanctions inflict relatively small costs on average: sanctioning ...
2025| Martin Bernstein, Josefin Meyer, Kevin O’Rourke, Moritz Schularick
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DIW Discussion Papers 2149 / 2025
How do shifts in the global balance of power shape the world economy? We propose a theory of alignment-based “hegemonic globalization,” built on two central premises: countries differ in their preferences over policies (such as the rule of law or regulatory frameworks) and trade between any two countries increases with the degree of alignment in these policies. Hegemons promote policy alignment and ...
2025| Fernando Broner, Alberto Martin, Josefin Meyer, Christoph Trebesch
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DIW Weekly Report 49 / 2025
In 2024, the heating energy demand of households in Germany remained at a similar level as in 2023. Thus, the heating energy savings achieved during the energy crisis were maintained, as data from real estate service provider ista SE show. Compared to 2023, CO₂ emissions fell by three percent after adjusting for temperature. Although heating energy prices rose on average by only 6.2 percent in 2024, ...
2025| Sophie M. Behr, Till Köveker
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Video
Free, fair, and diversified trade plays a crucial role in the development of new technologies and thus also in the success of industrial and innovation policy strategies. Access to critical raw materials and other inputs, such as semiconductors or steel scrap, is often a prerequisite for the development of new technologies, including in the important areas of digitalization and decarbonization. At...
04.12.2025| Veranstaltungsrückblick
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Personnel news
Jonas Hannane received the “Best Paper Award for Junior Scholars” from Faculty VII at TU Berlin for his article “Who Is AI Replacing? The Impact of Generative AI on Online Freelancing Platforms”, published in the journal Management Science in 2025. Congratulations!
Jonas was a GC/BSE PhD researcher in the Firms and Markets Department. The award-winning paper was part of his dissertation.
02.12.2025
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Refereed essays Web of Science
Comparisons are crucial in shaping evaluations of one’s own position. Following this notion, we investigated the role of historical, financial, partner, occupational, and regional pay referents in predicting the just gross hourly earnings in a representative sample of German workers. Looking at this broad range of pay referents, we find that higher reference earnings were generally associated with ...
In:
European Sociological Review
40 (2024), 1, S. 129–142
| Philipp Simon Eisnecker, Jule Adriaans
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Refereed essays Web of Science
Divorce marks the legal endpoint of a marital union. While divorce is increasingly seen as a ‘clean break’, the past marital history of the couple may nevertheless shape their present conditions. In particular, there may be a legacy of a highly gendered division of labour during marriage that may affect the ex-spouses’ earning trajectories beyond the date of divorce. Using register data from the German ...
In:
Population Research and Policy Review
42 (2023), 23, 34 S.
| Daniel Brüggmann, Michaela Kreyenfeld
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Refereed essays Web of Science
This replication revisits an influential contribution on the intergenerational transmission of risk and trust attitudes, which, based on data from the German Socioeconomic Panel (GSOEP), reveals a positive correlation between parents' and children's attitudes. The authors of the original study argue that socialization in the family is important in the transmission process. The replication is motivated ...
In:
Social Science Research
119 (2024), 102982, 21 S.
| Christoph Spörlein, Cornelia Kristen, Regine Schmidt
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Refereed essays Web of Science
While almost all charities rely on a set of donor appreciation strategies, their effectiveness for the success of fundraising campaigns is underresearched. Through two preregistered field studies conducted in collaboration with a leading German opera house (N = 10,000), we explore the significance of expressing gratitude and examine two different approaches to doing so. Our first study investigates ...
In:
Experimental Economics
(2025), im Ersch. [online first: 2025-11-11]
| Maja Adena, Steffen Huck, Levent Neyse
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Externe Working Papers
We analyze how machine learning predictions may improve antibiotic prescribing in the context of the global health policy challenge of increasing antibiotic resistance. Estimating a binary antibiotic treatment choice model, we find variation in the skill to diagnose bacterial urinary tract infections and in how general practitioners trade off the expected cost of resistance against antibiotic curative ...
Berlin:
Berlin School of Economics,
2023,
51 S.
(Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers ; 0027)
| Michael Allan Ribers, Hannes Ullrich