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The Macroeconomics Department analyses macroeconomic relationships using empirical and theoretical methods. The department's research focuses on the central topic of macroeconomics and inequality and includes analyses of monetary and fiscal policy, green macroeconomics, and nowcasts and forecasts of income distributions of private households based on the SOEP. A particular focus is placed on the...
This course provides an ideal complement for the BSE short course from Prof. Christian Bayer on "Business Cycle Models with Heterogeneous Agents". Please register with Juliane at jmetzner@diw.de, if you are interested.
The current global economic environment remains harsh. Global growth rates stagnated in the fourth quarter of 2018, particularly affected by foreign trade. DIW Berlin’s forecast indicates global economic growth of 3.7 percent for 2019 and 3.6 percent for 2020. Positive stimuli are expected from catch-up effects (in the European automobile industry, for example) and the continued positive development ...
Although the economic boom in Germany is over, a recession is not looming. The economy is still expected to grow by 1.0 percent this year despite its recent weaker performance. Consumption remains a mainstay of the economy; the average annual increase in the number of employees is likely to be just under half a million. At 1.5 percent, inflation is barely dampening purchasing power and together with ...
This paper presents non-take-up rates of benefits from the German Income Support for Job Seekers scheme, called Unemployment Benefit II (Arbeitslosengeld II ). Eligibility to these benefits is simulated by applying a microsimulation model based on data from the Socio-economic Panel for the years 2005 to 2014. To ensure the quality of the results, feasible upper and lower bounds of nontake-up are shown ...
by Claire Samtleben Paid and unpaid work are still distributed very unequally between men and women in Germany. Regardless of time restrictions imposed by gainful employment, there is a gender- specific gap in time spent on housework and child care (gender care gap). The total volume of paid and unpaid work on weekdays is roughly the same for men and women (approx. 11 hours), although women perform ...
by Aline Zucco The gender pay gap of 21 percent in Germany is partly due to the fact that men and women work in different occupations. However, considerable pay gaps between men and women can also be observed within occupations, although the gap is not constant across occupations. In particular, there is a substantial gender pay gap in occupations with non-linear earnings, i.e. earnings increase non-linearly ...
SOEP Research: Survey Methodology and Data Science