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The Wider Benefits of Adult Learning: Work-Related Training and Social Capital

We propose a regression-adjusted matched difference-in-differences framework to estimate non-pecuniary returns to adult education. This approach combines kernel matching with entropy balancing to account for selection bias and sorting on gains. Using data from the German SOEP,we evaluate the effect of work-related training, which represents the largest portion of adult education in OECD countries, ...

Identifying Uncertainty Shocks Using the Price of Gold

We are very grateful to two anonymous referees for helpful comments and suggestions on an earlier version of this article. We are also grateful to seminar participants at the Bank of Italy, Free University of Berlin, University of Naples, Humboldt University of Berlin, IAAE 2016 (Milan), 7th Ifo Conference 2016 (Munich) and EEA 2016 (Geneva), as well as to Rudi Bachmann, Christoph Große Steffen, Michael ...

US Monetary Policy and the Euro Area

This study documents empirically that contractionary US monetary policy may generate short-term expansionary spillover effects. In individual Euro Area (EA) member countries, economic activity increases, mainly via the trade channel. Also, domestic credit and stock markets expand, highlighting the importance of the financial channel. However, the international repercussions are transitory and distributed ...

Central Business District of St. Petersburg 1869–2017: From a Market Economy to a Centrally Planned One and Back Again

The city center is at the core of urban and housing economics. Many models crucially depend on it. In a market economy, the location of urban amenities, especially eating establishments, closely correlates with that of the city center and, more generally, with the Central Business District (CBD). In a centrally planned economy, the spatial distribution of those amenities is determined by the central ...

Construction Industry Momentum Continues – State Stimulus Impacts Prices

According to the German Institute for Economic Research construction volume forecast, the country’s construction industry will continue to flourish in the coming years. Companies can count on a rise in the nominal construction volume of around 7.5 percent in 2019 and 6.5 percent next year. The industry’s business cycle continues to be supported by the flourishing residential construction sector, which ...

Construction industry momentum continues – state stimulus impacts prices

By Martin Gornig, Claus Michelsen, and Martin Bruns According to the German Institute for Economic Research construction volume forecast, the country’s construction industry will continue to flourish in the coming years. Companies can count on a rise in the nominal construction volume of around 7.5 percent in 2019 and 6.5 percent next year. The industry’s business cycle continues ...

SOEPcompanion (v34)

The Effect of Self-Employment on Income Inequality

It is well known that the self-employed are over-represented at the bottom as well as the top of the income distribution. This paper shifts the focus from the income situation of the self-employed to the distributive effects of a change in self-employment rates. With representative German data and unconditional quantile regression analysis we show that an increase in the proportion of self-employed ...

Global Economy and the Euro Area: Uncertainty Weighs on Trade and Investment: DIW Economic Outlook

By Claus Michelsen, Dawud Ansari, Guido Baldi, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Hella Engerer, Stefan Gebauer, Malte Rieth, and Aleksandar Zaklan The global expansion weakened somewhat in the third quarter while the downside risks have increased. DIW Berlin’s forecast—almost unchanged—indicates an expansion in global economic production of 4.3 percent for 2018 and 3.9 percent for 2019. In ...

Germany’s Economic Boom Is Cooling Off: Editorial