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Refereed essays Web of Science
The actions by the European Central Bank (ECB) during the global and European crises have triggered a highly controversial debate, in particular in Germany, about the costs and benefits of the chosen policy path. The article reviews, compares, and evaluates the different arguments made in favor and against ECB policies around three key dimensions—the link of the policy path to price stability, financial ...
In:
CESifo Economic Studies
62 (2016), 1, S. 68-87
| Marcel Fratzscher
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Refereed essays Web of Science
This paper shows that the liquidity risk associated with short-term debt financing can be used to sort insolvent firms out of financial markets when their solvency risk is private information. Notwithstanding this sorting role of short-term debt, unregulated financial firms tend to choose an inefficiently short debt maturity structure. This inefficiency arises for two reasons. First, by issuing more ...
In:
Journal of Financial Intermediation
26 (2016), S. 100-114
| Philipp König, David Pothier
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Refereed essays Web of Science
This paper investigates the macroeconomic risks associated with undesirably low inflation using a medium-sized New Keynesian model. We consider different causes of persistently low inflation, including a downward shift in long-run inflation expectations, a fall in nominal wage growth, and a favorable supply-side shock. We show that the macroeconomic effects of persistently low inflation depend crucially ...
In:
European Economic Review
88 (2016), S. 88-107
| Jonas E. Arias, Christopher Erceg, MathiasTrabandt
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Refereed essays Web of Science
This paper explores the long run relationship between public and private investment in the euro area. In contrast to previous studies a stock-flow approach is applied to control for the different orders of integration between the stock and flow variables. Panel econometric techniques allowing for international spillovers are employed. Private and public capital stocks are both I(2) and cointegrated. ...
In:
Economic Modelling
58 (2016), S. 154-158
| Christian Dreger, Hans-Eggert Reimers
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Refereed essays Web of Science
This paper shows how spillovers from sovereign risk to banks׳ access to wholesale funding establish a bank-sovereign nexus. In a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium set-up, heterogeneous banks give rise to an interbank market where government bonds are used as collateral. Government borrowing under limited commitment is costly ex ante as bank funding conditions tighten when the quality of collateral ...
In:
European Economic Review
87 (2016), S. 34-61
| Philipp Engler, Christoph Große Steffen
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Refereed essays Web of Science
In response to the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), bank regulatory regimes were tightened world-wide to strengthen banking stability and the resilience of the banking sectors. Yet, it is often claimed that regulatory tightening may lead banks to cut back on lending and comes at the cost of a lower loan supply. The present paper uses a country panel for 50 advanced and emerging market economies to analyze ...
In:
Journal of International Money and Finance
66 (2016), S. 113-135
| Marcel Fratzscher, Philipp König, Claudia Lambert
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Refereed essays Web of Science
We use changes in Brazil's tax on capital inflows from 2006 to 2013 to test for direct portfolio effects and externalities from capital controls on investor portfolios. We find that an increase in Brazil's tax on foreign investment in bonds causes fund managers to significantly decrease their portfolio allocations to Brazil in both bonds and equities. Fund managers simultaneously increase allocations ...
In:
Journal of International Economics
99 (2016), S. 85-104
| Kristin Forbes, Marcel Fratzscher, Thomas Kostka, Roland Straub
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Refereed essays Web of Science
This paper studies the reaction of the Euro's value against major currencies to sovereign rating announcements from Moody's, S&P and Fitch CRAs during the Eurozone debt crisis in 2010–2012 based on event study methodology combined with GARCH models. We also analyze how the yields of French, Italian, German and Spanish government long-term bonds were affected by CRA announcements. Our results reveal ...
In:
Journal of Financial Stability
24 (2016), S. 117-131
| Christopher F. Baum, Dorothea Schäfer, Andreas Stephan
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Refereed essays Web of Science
In this paper, the authors construct a unique data set of Internet offer prices for flats in 48 large European cities across 24 countries. The data collected between January and May 2012 from 33 websites, are drawn from Internet advertisements of dwellings. Using the resulting sample of more than 1,000,000 announcements, the authors compute the quality-adjusted city-specific house prices. Based on ...
In:
Economics
9 (2015), 2015-28, S. 1-43
| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Dirk Ulbricht
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Refereed essays Web of Science
Since the onset of the economic reforms more than three decades ago, the Chinese growth miracle has been based on exports and investment. While strong output growth was maintained even during the financial crisis, imbalances within the country increased. To return to a more sustainable development path, recent government policies have aimed to improve the role of private consumption. This article argues ...
In:
Development and Change
46 (2015), 6, S. 1331-1344
| Christian Dreger, Tongsan Wang, Yanqun Zhang