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Press Release
The Joint Economic Forecast Project Group forecasts a 0.1% decline in Germany's gross domestic product in 2024. Looking further ahead, the institutes expect a weak recovery with growth of 0.8% (2025) and 1.3% (2026). Compared to the spring forecast, this represents a downward revision of 0.2 (2024) and 0.6 (2025) percentage points. “In addition to the economic downturn, the German economy is also being ...
26.09.2024
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Nachrichten [Graduate Center]
We congratulate Fabian Seyrich on successfully defending his dissertation on 9 July 2024.The title of the thesis was ‘Five Essays in Macroeconomics’ and he was supervised by Prof Dr Alexander Kriwoluzky and Prof Dr Christian Bayer. Fabian will remain with DIW and the Macroeconomics Department for part of the time. From 15 August 2024, he will also take up a new position as Assistant Professor at the ...
14.08.2024
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Press Release
According to Germany’s five leading economic research institutes, the country’s economy shows cyclical and structural weaknesses. In their spring report, they revised their GDP forecast for the current year significantly downward to 0.1 percent. In the recent fall report, the figure was still 1.3 percent. Expectations for the coming year are almost unchanged at 1.4 percent (previously 1.5 percent). ...
27.03.2024
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Press Release
According to the Joint Economic Forecast, Germany's gross domestic product declines by 0.6% in 2023. This is a strong downward revision of 0.9 percentage points from the forecast made in spring 2023. "The most important reason for this revision is that industry and private consumption are recovering more slowly than we expected in spring," says Oliver Holtemöller, Vice President and Head of the Macroeconomics ...
28.09.2023
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Personnel news
Stephanie Ettmeier was recently a research assistant in the Macroeconomics Department and received her doctorate with her dissertation titled "From Policy to Practice: Applying Empirical Analysis and Historic Contexts to Understand Fiscal and Monetary Policy, and their Interaction" on May 15. Her supervisor was Alexander Kriwoluzky, Head of the Department of Macroeconomics. Congratulations!
31.05.2023
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Personnel news
Max Diegel has successfully defended his dissertation "Three Essays on Inflation Expectations in Empirical Macroeconomics". He was supervised by Prof. Dr. Dieter Nautz at Freie Universität Berlin. Congratulations!
02.12.2022
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Personnel news
Tobias König has successfully defended his dissertation "Three Essays on the Role of Financial Frictions in Macroeconomics" supervised by Michael Burda (1st supervisor) and Alexander Kriwoluzky (2nd supervisor) at Humboldt University Berlin. He has now taken up a post-doc position at the University of Bonn. Congratulations!
02.12.2022
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Personnel news
Jan Philip Fritsche has successfully defended his dissertation "Macroeconomic Policy under Uncertainty and Inequality" supervised by Marcel Fratzscher (1st supervisor) and Lukas Menkhoff (2nd supervisor) at Humboldt-Universität Berlin. Congratulations!
02.12.2022
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Press Release
The German economy is steering through difficult waters and faces the highest inflation rates in decades. In their spring report, the leading German economic research institutes revise their outlook for this year significantly downward. The recovery from the COVID-19 crisis is slowing down as a result of the war in Ukraine, but remains on track. The institutes expect GDP to increase by 2.7 and 3.1 ...
13.04.2022
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Press Release
The Corona pandemic still shapes the economic situation in Germany. A complete normalisation of contact-intensive activities is not to be expected in the short term. In addition, supply bottlenecks are hampering manufacturing for the time being. The German economy will reach normal capacity utilisation in the course of 2022. In their autumn report, the leading economic research institutes ...
14.10.2021
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Press Release
DIW Berlin forecasting experts are lowering their forecast for 2021 from 3.2 to 2.1 percent - Supply bottlenecks and material shortages are weighing on German industry - Private consumption remains restrained - With growth of just under five percent, the German economy will pick up speed in 2022 once bottlenecks have been overcome and infection rates have fallen on a sustained basis - Inflation no ...
16.09.2021
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Press Release
In their spring report, the leading economic research institutes forecast an increase in gross domestic product of 3.7 percent in the current year and 3.9 percent in 2022. The renewed shutdown is delaying the economic recovery, but as soon as the risks of infection, particularly from vaccination, have been averted, a strong recovery will begin. The economy is likely to return to normal output levels ...
15.04.2021
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Press Release
The corona pandemic leaves substantial marks in the German economy and its impact is more persistent than assumed in spring. In their autumn report, the leading German economic research institutes have revised their economic outlook downwards by roughly one percentage point for both this and next year. They now expect gross domestic product to fall by 5.4 percent in 2020 (previously -4.2%) and to grow ...
14.10.2020
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Report
Martin Harding has successfully defended his dissertation
18.08.2020| Martin Ignacio Harding
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DIW focus
To cushion the economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic, central banks have taken far-reaching monetary policy measures. The US Federal Reserve has lowered its interest rates and, like the European Central Bank, has expanded its bond purchase programs. However, it is questionable whether these measures are having the desired effect of calming the markets and supporting the real economy. It is...
27.04.2020| Kerstin Bernoth, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Anna Gibert
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Press Release
The coronavirus pandemic is triggering a severe recession in Germany. Economic output will shrink by 4.2 percent this year. This is what the leading economics research institutes expect in their spring report. For next year, they are forecasting a recovery and growth of 5.8 percent.
Gross domestic product is likely to have shrunk by 1.9 percent in the first quarter of 2020 alone. In the second quarter, ...
08.04.2020
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DIW focus
The coronavirus pandemic, which began in December 2019 and is currently spreading rapidly around the world, is having a noticeable impact on the economy and thus also on the real estate market. Since the measures to curb the spread are causing economic activities to decline massively, small and medium-sized companies in the service, hospitality, and transport sectors in particular, but the self...
06.04.2020| Konstantin A. Kholodilin
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Report
The new issue of the Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung 4/2018 (Quarterly Journal of Economic Research) on European banking landscape between diversity, competition and concentration is now available.
Causes and consequences of institutional diversity are a largely neglected issue in economics. Only in finance, institutional variety has been at times acknowledged, though not in its ‘institution-free’ ...
09.10.2019| Dorothea Schäfer
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Press Release
Press release of the project group "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose": German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) – Member of the Leibniz Association, ifo Institute – Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in cooperation with the KOF Swiss Economic Institute at ETH Zurich, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), ...
02.10.2019
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Personnel news
Tatsiana Kliatskova, who works at the Macroeconomics department, has successfully defended her dissertation at the Freie Universität Berlin.
The dissertation with the title "Essays in International Finance" was supervised by Prof. Dr. Helmut Lütkepohl (DIW Berlin, Freie Universität Berlin) and Prof. Marcel Fratzscher, Ph.D. (DIW Berlin, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin).
We congratulate ...
11.07.2019