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Report
The data from the SOEP-related study “Familien in Deutschland” (FiD, Families in Germany) are now available for the first three waves, spanning 2010–2012. Each year, more than 4,000 household interviews are carried out with single-parent families, families with more than two children, low-income families, and families with small children. The survey also includes more than 7,000 personal ...
27.03.2013
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DIW Discussion Papers 1276 / 2013
The international transmission of knowledge through import spillovers, as a source of TFP growth, has received much attention in the literature. We investigate two additional direct channels through which R&D disseminates: the import of high-technology goods and the internationalization of business R&D. Building on an extensive dataset, covering both developing and industrial countries, we add foreign ...
2013| Heike Belitz, Florian Mölders
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DIW Discussion Papers 1273 / 2013
In this paper, we use the Global Gas Model to analyze the perspectives and infrastructure needs of the European natural gas market until 2050. Three pathways of natural gas consumption in a future low-carbon energy system in Europe are envisaged: i) a decreasing natural gas consumption, along the results of the PRIMES model for the EMF decarbonization scenarios; ii) a moderate increase of natural gas ...
2013| Franziska Holz, Philipp M. Richter, Ruud Egging
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SOEP Brown Bag Seminar
Objective: In surveys, preceding questions can influence respondents' answers to later questions. As an individual's opinions toward their own fertility are highly dependent upon their circumstances, we test whether prior questions might influence the reporting of fertility preferences. Methods: We use three experiments which manipulate the ordering of questions to examine the priming effects of...
13.03.2013| Paul Mathews (ISER, University of Essex)
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DIW Discussion Papers 1271 / 2013
In the European Emissions Trading System, power generators hold CO2 allowances to hedge for future power sales. First, we model their aggregate hedging demand in response to changes in expectations of future fuel, carbon and power prices from forward prices. This partial equilibrium analysis is then integrated into a two period model of the supply and demand of CO2 allowances considering also emissions ...
2013| Anne Schopp, Karsten Neuhoff
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SOEPpapers 542 / 2013
We examine how parental health shocks affect children's non-cognitive skills. Based on a German mother-and-child data base, we draw on significant changes in self-reported parental health as an exogenous source of health variation to identify effects on outcomes for children at ages of three and six years. At the age of six, we observe that maternal health shocks in the previous three years have significant ...
2013| Franz Westermaier, Brant Morefield, Andrea M. Mühlenweg
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SOEPpapers 543 / 2013
While many previous studies on temporary work have found disadvantages for temporary workers as compared to workers with a permanent contract, this study compares temporary work to the alternative of unemployment. Specifically, this paper investigates the potential integrative power of taking up a temporary job for unemployed workers as compared to the counterfactual situation of remaining unemployed ...
2013| Michael Gebel
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Press Release
The article analyzes the question of whether career politicians differ systematically from the general population in terms of their attitudes toward risk. A written survey of members of the 17th German Bundestag in late 2011 identified their risk attitudes, and the survey data was set in relation to respondents to the German Socio-Economic Panel Study (SOEP) for the survey year 2009 (2002 through 2012). ...
06.03.2013
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Press Release
Since last year, Germany has not even been runner-up in visible exports. It has been overtaken by China, and now the US, on the list of the most prolific global exporting nations. But does this mean losing more than just an attention-grabbing title? Are exports becoming less important to Germany? A closer look at structures and trade patterns shows that in fact the opposite is true. Exports have never ...
06.03.2013
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DIW Discussion Papers 1282 / 2013
The GARCH(1,1) model and its extensions have become a standard econometric tool for modeling volatility dynamics of financial returns and port-folio risk. In this paper, we propose an adjustment of GARCH implied conditional value-at-risk and expected shortfall forecasts that exploits the predictive content of uncorrelated, yet dependent model innovations. The adjustment is motivated by non-Gaussian ...
2013| Benjamin Beckers, Helmut Herwartz, Moritz Seidel