Publikationen Prognose und Konjunkturpolitik

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  • DIW Discussion Papers 1411 / 2014

    Drivers of Structural Change in Cross-Border Banking since the Global Financial Crisis

    The paper analyzes the effects of changes to regulatory policy and to monetary policy on cross-border bank lending since the global financial crisis. Cross-border bank lending has decreased, and the home bias in the credit portfolio of banks has risen sharply, especially among banks in the euro area. Our results suggest that expansionary monetary policy in the source countries – as measured by the ...

    2014| Franziska Bremus, Marcel Fratzscher
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1410 / 2014

    Small Might Be Beautiful, but Bigger Performs Better: Scale Economies in "Green" Refurbishments of Apartment Housing

    The energy efficiency of the residential housing stock plays a key role in strategies to mitigate climate change and global warming. In this context, it is frequently argued that private investment and the quality of thermal upgrades is too low in the light of the challenges faced and the potential energy cost savings. While many authors address the potential barriers for investors to increase energy ...

    2014| Claus Michelsen, Sebastian Rosenschon, Christian Schulz
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1398 / 2014

    The Market Value of Energy Efficiency in Buildings and the Mode of Tenure

    Concerns about global warming and growing scarcity of fossile fuels require substantial changes in energy consumption patterns and energy systems, as targeted by many countries around the world. One key element to achieve such transformation is to increase energy efficiency of the housing stock. In this context, it is frequently argued that private investments are too low in the light of the potential ...

    2014| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Claus Michelsen
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1393 / 2014

    Do Media Data Help to Predict German Industrial Production?

    Expectations form the basis of economic decisions of market participants in an uncertain world. Sentiment indicators reflect those expectations and thus have a proven track record for predicting economic variables. However, respondents of surveys perceive the world to a large extent with the help of media. So far, mainly very crude media information, such as word-count indices, has been used in the ...

    2014| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Tobias Thomas, Dirk Ulbricht
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1376 / 2014

    John Doe's Old-Age Provision: Dollar Cost Averaging and Time Diversification

    Do timing and time diversification improve the average investor's stock market return? Contrary to literature's scenario of wealthy investors, average investors invest each month over life. Many purchases prevent investors from buying at peak, but horizons decrease, giving latter investments less time to offset losses. This paper accommodates timing using internal rates of return, facilitating the ...

    2014| Dirk Ulbricht
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1371 / 2014

    Regulation, Innovation and Technology Diffusion: Evidence from Building Energy Efficiency Standards in Germany

    The impact of environmental regulation on technology diffusion and innovations is studied using a unique data set of German residential buildings. We analyze how energy efficiency regulations, in terms of minimum standards, affects energy-use in newly constructed buildings and how it induces innovation in the residential-building industry. The data used consists of a large sample of German apartment ...

    2014| Makram El-Shagi, Claus Michelsen, Sebastian Rosenschon
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1364 / 2014

    Asymmetric Information and Roll-over Risk

    How do banks choose their debt maturity structure when credit markets are subject to information frictions? This paper proposes a model of equilibrium maturity choice with asymmetric information and endogenous roll-over risk. We show that in the presence of public signals about firms' creditworthiness (credit ratings), firms choose to expose themselves to positive roll-over risk in order to minimize ...

    2014| Philipp König, David Pothier
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1348 / 2013

    Big Banks and Macroeconomic Outcomes: Theory and Cross-Country Evidence of Granularity

    Does the mere presence of big banks affect macroeconomic outcomes? In this paper, we develop a theory of granularity (Gabaix, 2011) for the banking sector, introducing Bertrand competition and heterogeneous banks charging variable markups. Using this framework, we show conditions under which idiosyncratic shocks to bank lending can generate aggregate fluctuations in the credit supply when the banking ...

    2013| Franziska Bremus, Claudia M. Buch, Katheryn N. Russ, Monika Schnitzer
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1346 / 2013

    Granularity in Banking and Growth: Does Financial Openness Matter?

    We explore the impact of large banks and of financial openness for aggregate growth. Large banks matter because of granular effects: if markets are very concentrated in terms of the size distribution of banks, idiosyncratic shocks at the bank-level do not cancel out in the aggregate but can affect macroeconomic outcomes. Financial openness may affect GDP growth in and of itself, and it may also influence ...

    2013| Franziska Bremus, Claudia M. Buch
  • DIW Discussion Papers 1344 / 2013

    Cross-Border Banking, Bank Market Structures and Market Power: Theory and Cross-Country Evidence

    Patterns in cross-border banking have changed since the global financial crisis. This may affect domestic bank market structures and macroeconomic stability in the longer term. In this study, I theoretically and empirically analyze how different modes of cross-border banking impact bank concentration. I use a two- country general equilibrium model with heterogeneous banks developed by De Blas and Russ ...

    2013| Franziska Bremus
2321 Ergebnisse, ab 1341
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