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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
We study the characteristics of inflation targeting as a shock absorber, using quarterly data for a large panel of countries. To overcome an endogeneity problem between monetary regimes and the likelihood of crises, we propose to study large natural disasters. We find that inflation targeting improves macroeconomic performance following such exogenous shocks. It lowers inflation, raises output growth, ...
In:
Journal of International Economics
123 (2020), 103308, 16 S.
| Marcel Fratzscher, Christoph Große Steffen, Malte Rieth
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
The article analyses the empirical relationship between bank credit risk and sovereign credit risk in the euro area, using a system of simultaneous equations identified through heteroskedasticity. We first confirm a two-way causality between both risks, which amplifies initial credit risk shocks. We also document significant credit risk spillovers between sovereigns and banks in the periphery and the ...
In:
Review of Finance
23 (2019), 4, S. 745-775
| Marcel Fratzscher, Malte Rieth
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This paper examines foreign exchange intervention based on novel daily data covering 33 countries from 1995 to 2011. We find that intervention is widely used and an effective policy tool, with a success rate in excess of 80 percent under some criteria. The policy works well in terms of smoothing the path of exchange rates, and in stabilizing the exchange rate in countries with narrow band regimes. ...
In:
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
11 (2019), 1, S. 132-156
| Marcel Fratzscher, Oliver Gloede, Lukas Menkhoff, Lucio Sarno, Tobias Stöhr
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This article analyses the effects of the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing (QE) on global portfolio flows, differentiating across recipient region of the flows, type of flow and QE rounds. Furthermore, the analysis differentiates between the impact of QE expansionary announcements and the actual market operations. The analysis shows that QE1 resulted in (slight) rebalancing towards the US, while ...
In:
The Economic Journal
12, S. 330-377
| Marcel Fratzscher, Marco Lo Duca, Roland Straub
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
The paper analyzes the integration of euro area sovereign bond markets during the European sovereign debt crisis. It tests for contagion (i.e., an intensification in the transmission of shocks across countries), fragmentation (a reduction in spillovers) and flight-to-quality patterns, exploiting the heteroskedasticity of intraday changes in bond yields for identification. The paper finds that euro ...
In:
Journal of International Money and Finance
70 (2017), S. 26-44
| Michael Ehrmann, Marcel Fratzscher
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
The actions by the European Central Bank (ECB) during the global and European crises have triggered a highly controversial debate, in particular in Germany, about the costs and benefits of the chosen policy path. The article reviews, compares, and evaluates the different arguments made in favor and against ECB policies around three key dimensions—the link of the policy path to price stability, financial ...
In:
CESifo Economic Studies
62 (2016), 1, S. 68-87
| Marcel Fratzscher
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
We use changes in Brazil's tax on capital inflows from 2006 to 2013 to test for direct portfolio effects and externalities from capital controls on investor portfolios. We find that an increase in Brazil's tax on foreign investment in bonds causes fund managers to significantly decrease their portfolio allocations to Brazil in both bonds and equities. Fund managers simultaneously increase allocations ...
In:
Journal of International Economics
99 (2016), S. 85-104
| Kristin Forbes, Marcel Fratzscher, Thomas Kostka, Roland Straub
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
In response to the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), bank regulatory regimes were tightened world-wide to strengthen banking stability and the resilience of the banking sectors. Yet, it is often claimed that regulatory tightening may lead banks to cut back on lending and comes at the cost of a lower loan supply. The present paper uses a country panel for 50 advanced and emerging market economies to analyze ...
In:
Journal of International Money and Finance
66 (2016), S. 113-135
| Marcel Fratzscher, Philipp König, Claudia Lambert
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Are capital controls and macroprudential measures related to international exposures successful in achieving their objectives? Assessing their effectiveness is complicated by selection bias; countries which change their capital-flow management measures (CFMs) often share specific characteristics and are responding to changes in variables that the CFMs are intended to influence. This paper addresses ...
In:
Journal of International Economics
96 (2015), Suppl. 1, S. S76-S97
| Kristin Forbes, Marcel Fratzscher, Roland Straub
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
The paper analyzes the effects of changes to regulatory policy and to monetary policy on cross-border bank lending since the global financial crisis. Cross-border bank lending has decreased, and the home bias in the credit portfolio of banks has risen sharply, especially among banks in the euro area. Our results suggest that expansionary monetary policy in the source countries – as measured by the ...
In:
Journal of International Money and Finance
52 (2015), 32-59
| Franziska Bremus, Marcel Fratzscher