Thema Finanzmärkte

Securitizations Are Dead - Long Live Securitizations?

After the financial markets slumped worldwide in 2008, securitizations were seen as a major cause of the conflagration. The securitization market dried up because this financial instrument was no longer trusted. At the time, no one thought securitizations had any future as a financial innovation. However, just three years after the financial meltdown, the securitization market in the US has made a ...

After the Crisis Is before the Crisis: Six Questions to Georg Erber

In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Prediction of Stock Market Bubbles: Cross-Sectional Evidence

We evaluate the informational content of ex post and ex ante predictors of periods of excess stock (market) valuation. For a cross section comprising 10 OECD economies and a time span of at most 40 years alternative binary chronologies of price bubble periods are determined. Using these chronologies as dependent processes and a set of macroeconomic and financial variables as explanatory variables, ...

Banken: Leverage Ratio ist das bessere Risikomaß

Eine angemessene Eigenkapitalausstattung der Großbanken ist die wichtigste Voraussetzung für die Bildung von Vertrauen in die Stabilität des Bankensektors. Die risikogewichtete Eigenkapitalquote (Equity Ratio) ist mit zahlreichen Problemen behaftet und daher als Indikator für die Widerstandskraft einer Bank nur sehr bedingt geeignet. Eine bessere, risikounabhängige Kennziffer stellt die Leverage Ratio ...

Persistence and Cyclical Dependence in the Monthly Euribor Rate

This paper analyses two well-known features of interest rates, namely their time dependence and their cyclical structure. Specifically, it focuses on the monthly Euribor rate, using monthly data from January 1994 to May 2011. Models based on fractional integration at the long run or zero frequency, although adequately describing the persistent behaviour of the series, do not take into account its cyclical ...

Fiscal Spillovers in the Euro Area

This paper analyses the dynamic effects of fiscal imbalances in a given EMU member state on the borrowing costs of other countries in the euro area. The estimation of a multivariate, multi-country time series model (specifically a Global VAR, or GVAR) using quarterly data for the EMU period suggests that euro-denominated government yields are strongly linked with each other. However, financial markets ...

Kommt die Finanztransaktionssteuer? Kommentar

Global Integration of Central and Eastern European Financial Markets: The Role of Economic Sentiments

This paper examines the importance of different economic sentiments for the Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs) during the transition process. We first analyze the importance of economic confidence with respect to the CEECs' financial markets. Since the integration of formerly strongly-regulated markets into global markets can also lead to an increase in the dependence of the CEECs' economies ...

EU Banks Rating Assignments: Is There Heterogeneity between New and Old Member Countries?

We model EU countries' bank ratings using financial variables and allowing for intercept and slope heterogeneity. Our aim is to assess whether "old" and "new" EU countries are rated differently and to determine whether "new" ones areassigned lower ratings, ceteris paribus, than "old" ones. We find that country-specific factors (in the form of heterogeneous intercepts) are a crucial determinant of ratings. ...

The Financial Flows of the Transnational Crime: Some Preliminary Empirical Results

Until 2008, the growth of the world economy was quite strong and improved the economic well-being all over the globe, but this development was also accompanied by some risks. One of them is transnational crime, which has shown a remarkable increase in the last 20 years3. This raises the following two questions: (1) How is transnational crime financed, and what do we know about this financing? (2) What ...