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Berlin Macro Seminar

Die InRa-Beschäftigtenbefragung 2023

Beschäftigtenbefragungen in Behörden weisen eine Reihe von Besonderheiten auf, die sie von klassischen Bevölkerungsbefragungen unterscheiden. Diese Besonderheiten betreffen vor allem den Zugang zu den Befragten, aber auch die Konzeption des Fragebogens und deren Abstimmung mit den Leitungen und Funktionsstellen der Behörden. Aus diesem Grund ist es uns wichtig, das methodische Vorgehen der InRa-Beschäftigtenbefragung ...

Life After Divorce: Effects of Joint Custody on Parents and Children

Divorce reshapes family life, yet little is known about one of its most consequential features: the allocation of child custody. We study the impact of joint versus sole custody on both parents and children using rich administrative data from Sweden linked to over 25 years of newly-collected court custody rulings. To address selection concerns, we exploit random assignment of custody disputes to judges ...

Life After Divorce: Effects of Joint Custody on Parents and Children

Divorce reshapes family life, yet little is known about one of its most consequential features: the allocation of child custody. We study the impact of joint versus sole custody on both parents and children using rich administrative data from Sweden linked to over 25 years of newly-collected court custody rulings. To address selection concerns, we exploit random assignment of custody disputes to judges ...

Applying but Not Receiving: Longer Working Lives and Institutionalized Health Investment

Rising life expectancy and demographic change have increased the share of older workers, making their health and productivity central to aging societies. We study whether longer working lives translate into investments in work-related health before retirement. Exploiting a pension reform in Germany in a Regression Discontinuity Design, we show that women facing longer careers are more likely to apply ...

Youth Assault Victimisation as a Two-Generation Shock: Evidence on Parental Spillovers

When a child is the victim of a non-domestic violent assault, how do their parents respond? Using linked population-wide administrative data from New Zealand and a stacked difference-in-differences design, we show that youth assault is a two-generation shock. Over the two years following an assault, parental earnings fall by 2.2 percent and stress-related medication dispensing rises by 11 percent....

Florence Report

The Florence Report argues that Europe was able to operate under a model of reduced responsibility for decades because it relied on American protection, the American market, and an American-style financial system. Germany embodies this model in its purest form. The key question, then, is how Germany’s savings surplus can be transformed into European investments and who will finance European public...

Reforming Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanisms: European Industry Perspectives on a Path Forward: An Effective Carbon Price with a ‘Climate Contribution’

The EU and the UK have recently developed Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanisms (CBAM) to account for the carbon cost embedded in imported products. • There are three major drawbacks to the current design of the CBAM targeting process-specific emissions. Circumvention risks, a lack of export coverage and a scope limited to upstream producers create risks of leakage of emissions and industrial production. ...

Investigating the Replicability of the Social and Behavioural Sciences

Pursuing replicability — independent evidence for previous claims — is important for creating generalizable knowledge1,2. Here we attempted replications of 274 claims of positive results from 164 quantitative papers published from 2009 to 2018 in 54 journals in the social and behavioural sciences. Replications were high powered on average to detect the original effect size (median of 99.6%), used original ...

Ärzt*innen vertrauen KI-Diagnosen weniger als herkömmlichen Tests

Experiment in Dänemark mit 372 Hausärzt*innen zeigt: KI-Diagnosen werden deutlich weniger berücksichtigt als gleich präzise, übliche Schnelltests – Mehrheit erachtet KI zwar als nützlich, aber ein Drittel ignoriert KI-Informationen fast vollständig – Nutzung der KI kann Zunahme von Antibiotikaverschreibungen zur Folge haben – Schulungen und Praxistauglichkeit von KI-Diagnosewerkzeugen sind zentral Künstliche ...