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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
In the light of the current economic crises which in many countries lead to business closures and mass lay-offs, the consequences of job loss are important on various dimensions. They have to be investigated not only in consideration of a few years, but with a long-term perspective as well, because early life course events may prove important for later life outcomes. This paper uses data from SHARELIFE ...
In:
Advances in Life Course Research
18 (2013), 1, S. 5-15
| Mathis Schröder
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This article challenges the common view that exports generally contribute more to GDP growth than a pure change in export volume, as the export-led growth hypothesis predicts. Applying panel cointegration techniques to a production function with non-export GDP as the dependent variable, we find for a sample of 45 developing countries that: (i) exports have a positive short-run effect on non-export ...
In:
Empirical Economics
45 (2013), 1, S. 39-60
| Christian Dreger, Dierk Herzer
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This study investigates whether gender inequality in the division of housework and child care may be an obstacle to childbearing and relationship stability among different groups of British couples. Furthermore, it explores whether outsourcing of domestic labor ameliorates any negative effects of domestic work inequality. The empirical investigation uses event-history analysis based on 14 waves (1992-2005) ...
In:
Journal of Family Issues
34 (2013), 1, S. 25-52
| Pia S. Schober
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This study examines the importance of prenatal characteristics of men and women in couples for how they change their time spent on housework and paid work after thetransition to parenthood. We focus on both partners' earnings and gender role attitudes as explanatory factors. Previous research explored the importance of women's relative income and both partners' gender role attitudes for the extent ...
In:
European Sociological Review
29 (2013), 1, S. 74-85
| Pia S. Schober
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This paper empirically investigates the effects of changes in the interest rate as well as in the current and expected future consumer price levels on households' consumption-savings decision. In a structural demand model applied to German consumption data, we use cross-sectional and longitudinal variation in prices and tax rates to construct individual after-tax interest rates and cluster-specific ...
In:
Empirical Economics
45 (2013), 1, S. 371-399
| Martin Beznoska, Richard Ochmann
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Survey-based indicators are widely seen as leading indicators for economic activity. As such, consumer confidence might be informative for the future path of private consumption. Although the indicators receive high attention in the media, their forecasting power often appears to be very limited. This paper takes a fresh look at the data that serve as a basis for the consumer confidence indicator (CCI) ...
In:
Journal of Forecasting
32 (2013), 1, S. 10-18
| Christian Dreger, Konstantin A. Kholodilin
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Many contemporaneously aggregated variables have stochastic aggregation weights. We compare different forecasts for such variables, including univariate forecasts of the aggregate, a multivariate forecast of the aggregate that uses information from the disaggregated components, a forecast which aggregates a multivariate forecast of the disaggregate components and the aggregation weights, and a forecast ...
In:
International Journal of Forecasting
29 (2013), 1, S. 60-68
| Ralf Brüggemann, Helmut Lütkepohl
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
The paper investigates whether transforming a time series leads to an improvement in forecasting accuracy. The class of transformations that is considered is the Box-Cox power transformation, which applies to series measured on a ratio scale. We propose a nonparametric approach for estimating the optimal transformation parameter based on the frequency domain estimation of the prediction error variance, ...
In:
International Journal of Forecasting
29 (2013), 1, S. 88-99
| Tommaso Proietti, Helmut Lütkepohl
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Many Colombians are confronted with the ongoing conflict that influences their decision making in everyday life, including their behavior in labor markets. This study focuses on the impact of violent conflict on self-employment, enlarging the usual determinants with a set of conflict variables. Our estimation strategy compares three different estimates: one from fixed-effects panel data (OLS-FE), estimates ...
In:
The Journal of Conflict Resolution
57 (2013), 1, S. 117-142
| Carlos Bozzoli,Tilman Brück, Nina Wald
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
In order to address carbon leakage and preserve the competitiveness of domestic industries, some industrialized Annex I countries have proposed to implement carbon tariffs. These tariffs would be levied on energy-intensive imports from developing non-Annex I countries that have not agreed to binding emissions reductions. This action could have detrimental welfare impacts, especially on those developing ...
In:
Climate Policy
13 (2013), 1, S. 20-42
| Marco Springmann