Vortrag
Who Has to Leave and Why? Displacement in Kyrgyzstan: Evidence from a New Micro-Level Dataset

Tilman Brück, Antje Kröger


27th Annual Congress of the European Economic Association : EEA 2012
Malaga, Spanien, 27.08.2012 - 31.08.2012



Abstract:
Incidences of mass displacement constitute a major obstacle to economic and social prosperity in many developing countries. While significant progress in understanding the micro-level foundations of violence is being made, quantitative evidence on individual and group interactions in displacement environments is still relatively scarce. In this paper, we use unique household and individual survey data from Kyrgyzstan to study the causes and effects of the country's 2010 episodes of ethnic violence and forced displacement. The detailed information available on displacement at household and individual level allow for an in-depth analysis of the dynamics underlying the violence. Focusing on conflict-related displacement, our results confirm horizontal inequalities between ethnic Kyrgyz and Uzbeks to be among the main drivers of the riots, while hardly any effects are found for vertical inequalities or the presence of ethnically diverse populations per se. At the individual level, the decision to flee from conflict-prone areas is shown to depend on various demographic, social and economic factors.

Abstract

Incidences of mass displacement constitute a major obstacle to economic and social prosperity in many developing countries. While significant progress in understanding the micro-level foundations of violence is being made, quantitative evidence on individual and group interactions in displacement environments is still relatively scarce. In this paper, we use unique household and individual survey data from Kyrgyzstan to study the causes and effects of the country's 2010 episodes of ethnic violence and forced displacement. The detailed information available on displacement at household and individual level allow for an in-depth analysis of the dynamics underlying the violence. Focusing on conflict-related displacement, our results confirm horizontal inequalities between ethnic Kyrgyz and Uzbeks to be among the main drivers of the riots, while hardly any effects are found for vertical inequalities or the presence of ethnically diverse populations per se. At the individual level, the decision to flee from conflict-prone areas is shown to depend on various demographic, social and economic factors.



JEL-Classification: F51;I31;O10
Keywords: displacement, horizontal inequalities, vertical inequalities, victimization, Central Asia
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