Vortrag
Is Car Drivers' Response to Congestion Charging Schemes Based on the Correct Perception of Price Signals?

Heike Link


Kuhmo Nectar Conference and Summer School on Transportation Economics 2012 : Annual Conference of the International Transportation Economics Association (ITEA)
Berlin, 18.06.2012 - 23.06.2012


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Abstract:
This paper deals with the question how the capability of car drivers to estimate travel distance, travel time, fuel costs and other motoring costs as well as the cost of a new hypothetical congestion charge influences their decision to change their travel behaviour. The analysis makes use of an integrated choice and latent variable model (ICLV) which merges classic choice models with the structural equation approach (SEM) for latent variables. The integrated choice and latent variable model improves the explanatory power considerably compared with a conventional choice model. The paper provides evidence that charge complexity decreases the resistance in considering behavioural changes, a finding which can be explained by the ambiguity avoidance.

Abstract

This paper deals with the question how the capability of car drivers to estimate travel distance, travel time, fuel costs and other motoring costs as well as the cost of a new hypothetical congestion charge influences their decision to change their travel behaviour. The analysis makes use of an integrated choice and latent variable model (ICLV) which merges classic choice models with the structural equation approach (SEM) for latent variables. The integrated choice and latent variable model improves the explanatory power considerably compared with a conventional choice model. The paper provides evidence that charge complexity decreases the resistance in considering behavioural changes, a finding which can be explained by the ambiguity avoidance.

Heike Link

Wissenschaftliche Mitarbeiterin in der Abteilung Energie, Verkehr, Umwelt



JEL-Classification: R41;R48;C43
Keywords: Discrete choice models, latent variables, marginal cost pricing, complex price structures
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