11. Juni 2013

Veranstaltung

The 'Bomb' Risk Elicitation Task

Termin

11. Juni 2013
3 - 3:45 pm

Ort

Ferdinand-Friedensburg-Raum
DIW Berlin
Room 2.3.001
Anton-Wilhelm-Amo-Straße 58
10117 Berlin

Sprecher*innen

Paolo Crosetto http://paolocrosetto.wordpress.com/

Abstract:
We present the 'Bomb' Risk Elicitation Task (BRET), an intuitive procedure aimed at measuring risk attitudes. Subjects decide how many boxes to collect out of 100, one of which contains a bomb. Earnings increase linearly with the number of boxes accumulated but are zero if the bomb is also collected. The BRET requires minimal numeracy skills, avoids truncation of the data, allows the precise estimation of both risk aversion and risk seeking, and is not affected by the degree of loss aversion or by violations of the Reduction Axiom. We validate the BRET, test its robustness in a large-scale experiment, and compare it to three popular risk elicitation tasks. Choices react significantly only to increased stakes, and are sensible to wealth effects. Our experiment rationalizes the gender gap that often characterizes choices under uncertainty by means of a higher loss rather than risk aversion.

Kontakt

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