Veranstaltungen der Abteilung Makroökonomie

Die Verflechtung zwischen Banken und Staaten bleibt eine wesentliche Schwäche der Eurozone. Während die Einführung des einheitlichen Aufsichts- und Abwicklungsmechanismus dazu beigetragen hat, die Verflechtung abzumildern, wurden bei der Regulierung von Forderungen gegenüber öffentlichen Schuldnern in den Bankbüchern (Sovereign Exposures) keine Fortschritte erzielt. ...

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The DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets intends to provide a platform for discussing current research in the field of macroeconomics, financial markets, and applied econometrics. The public is invited to attend. Please contact the coordinators if you want to be put on the mailing list.

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Abstract: Does distance matter for the volatility of international real and financial transactions? We show that it does, in addition to its well-established relevance for the level of trade. A simple model of trade with endogenous markups shows that demand shocks have a larger impact on trade between more distant countries. We test this implication in two steps, relying on a broad range of real ...

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Germany’s persistent current account surplus reflects to a large extent low domestic private investment. We argue that two factors—the local fragmentation of Germany’s banking system and the role of local banks in local public finance—can help explain why investment is so low. Local public banks dominate lending to small and medium firms in many regions of Germany. At the ...

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Workshop organization: Hans-Helmut Kotz (SAFE, Harvard) and Dorothea Schäfer (DIW Berlin) in cooperation with Horst Gischer, head of Forschungszentrums für Sparkassenentwicklung e.V. at the University of Magdeburg. The workshop is part of the research project Banking Sector Diversity: Does it matter for sector stability and SME financing?

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The DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets intends to provide a platform for discussing current research in the field of macroeconomics, financial markets, and applied econometrics. The public is invited to attend. Please contact the coordinators if you want to be put on the mailing list.

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The 1st annual Workshop for Women in Macroeconomics, Finance and Economic History is being organized by the DIW Berlin. The aim is to bring together female academic researchers and practitioners to promote and exchange ideas in the field of Macroeconomics, Finance, and Economic History. We invite both empirical and theoretical contributions, including, but not limited to macroeconomic and ...

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The DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets intends to provide a platform for discussing current research in the field of macroeconomics, financial markets, and applied econometrics. The public is invited to attend. Please contact the coordinators if you want to be put on the mailing list.

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The DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets intends to provide a platform for discussing current research in the field of macroeconomics, financial markets, and applied econometrics. The public is invited to attend. Please contact the coordinators if you want to be put on the mailing list.

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with  Paul Tucker

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This paper uses a structural vector autoregression identified with the high frequency approach to study the international spillovers of the Fed and ECB monetary policy surprises. It distinguishes between the news about monetary policy (monetary policy shocks) and news about the economy in these surprises. The paper finds that the Fed monetary policy shocks have a very strong effect on the euro ...

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The paper explores the scope for a federal unemployment insurance scheme in the euro area. It models a union of atomistic member states that have authority over a wide range of domestic labor-market policies. Member states are faced with idiosyncratic business-cycle shocks, but are prevented from international borrowing.Labor-market frictions and wage rigidities mean that business cycles are ...

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Using an incentivized survey and a representative sample of investors, we elicit ambiguity attitudes toward a familiar company stock, a local stock index, a foreign stock index, and a crypto currency. We separately estimate ambiguity aversion (ambiguity preferences) and perceived ambiguity levels (perceptions about ambiguity), while controlling for unknown likelihood beliefs. We show that ...

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A timely and incisive look at austerity measures that succeed—and those that don’t. Fiscal austerity is hugely controversial. Opponents argue that it can trigger downward growth spirals and become self-defeating. Supporters argue that budget deficits have to be tackled aggressively at all times and at all costs. In this masterful book, three of today’s leading experts – ...

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The paper investigates how endogenous markups affect the extent to which policy reforms can inuence international competitiveness. In a two-country model where trade costs allow for international market segmentation, we show that endogenous pricing-to-market behavior offirms acts as an important transmission channel of the policies. By strengthening the degree of competition between rms, product ...

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Claudia M. Buch Vice President, Deutsche Bundesbank Welcome by Lukas Menkhoff | Head of Department International Economics at DIW Berlin Moderation by Dorothea Schäfer | Research Director Financial Markets at DIW BerlinInternational economic policy discussion centers around the volatility of capital flows and the impact on exchange rates, asset prices, and credit. Banks continue to account ...

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We assess the empirical validity of the trilemma (or impossible trinity) in the 2000s for a large sample of advanced and emerging economies. To do so, we estimate Taylor-rule type monetary policy reaction functions, relating the local policy rate to real-time forecasts of domestic fundamentals, global variables, as well as the base-country policy rate. In the regressions, we explore variations in ...

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We investigate the role played by the media in the expectations formation process of households. Using a novel news-topic-based approach we show that the news types the media choose to report on are good predictors of households' stated ination expectations. In turn, in a noisy information model setting, augmented with a simple media channel, we show that the underlying time series properties of ...

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We propose a novel, risk-based transmission mechanism for the effects of currency manipulation: policies that systematically induce a country's currency to appreciate in bad times lower its risk premium in international markets and, as a result, lower the country's risk-free interest rate and increase domestic capital accumulation and wages. Currency manipulations by large countries also have ...

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The DIW Seminar on Macroeconomics and Financial Markets intends to provide a platform for discussing current research in the field of macroeconomics, financial markets, and applied econometrics. The public is invited to attend. Please contact the coordinators if you want to be put on the mailing list.

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