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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
The use of log-transformed data has become standard in macroeconomic forecasting with VAR models. However, its appropriateness in the context of out-of-sample forecasts has not yet been exposed to a thorough empirical investigation. With the aim of filling this void, a broad sample of VAR models is employed in a multi-country set up and approximately 42 million pseudo-out-of-sample forecasts of GDP ...
In:
Economics Letters
126 (2015), S. 40-42
| Johannes Mayr, Dirk Ulbricht
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Despite numerous studies on skill development, we know little about the effects of extracurricular music activities on cognitive and non-cognitive skills. This study examines how music training during childhood and youth affects the development of cognitive skills, school grades, personality, time use and ambition using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). Our findings suggest that adolescents ...
In:
Economics of Education Review
44 (2015), S. 56–82
| Adrian Hille, Jürgen Schupp
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
We study how international migration changes the private transfers made between households in the migrant sending communities of developing countries. A priori, it is indeterminate whether migration and remittances strengthen or weaken the degree of private transfers in these communities. From a policy perspective, public income redistribution programs would have an important role to play if migration ...
In:
Journal of Comparative Economics
43 (2015), S. 690-705
| Tanika Chakraborty, Bakhrom Mirkasimov, Susan Steiner
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Pricing and selling strategies in the retail sector are hotly debated in policy circles. This article analyses the impact of sales below cost on the negotiation outcomes in intermediate goods markets. Assuming that consumers have a sufficiently strong preference for one-stop shopping, we model below-cost pricing as the result of a profit-maximising cross-subsidisation strategy of a multi-product retailer. ...
In:
European Review of Agricultural Economics
42 (2015), 2, S. 269-286
| Vanessa von Schlippenbach
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
DSM (demand-side management) merits increased attention by power system modelers. Numerical models should incorporate DSM constraints in a complete and consistent way. Otherwise, flawed DSM patterns and distorted conclusions on the system benefits of demand-side management are inevitable. Building on a model formulation put forward by Göransson et al. (2014), it is first suggested to include an additional ...
In:
Energy
84 (2015), S. 840-845
| Alexander Zerrahn, Wolf-Peter Schill
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This paper deals with the question of whether the capability of car drivers to estimate the cost of a new hypothetical, highly differentiated congestion charge influences their decision to change travel behaviour. The analysis makes use of an integrated choice and latent variable model (ICLV) which merges classic choice models with the structural equation approach (SEM) for latent variables. This hybrid ...
In:
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice
71 (2015), S. 96-109
| Heike Link
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
The German potable water supply industry is regarded highly fragmented, thus preventing efficiency improvements that could happen through consolidation. Focusing on a hypothetical restructuring of the industry, we use a cross-section sample of 364 German water utilities in 2006, applying Data Envelopment Analysis, to analyze the potential efficiency gains from hypothetical mergers between water utilities ...
In:
Journal of Productivity Analysis
44 (2015), 1, S. 97-114
| Michael Zschille
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
The scapegoat theory of exchange rates (2 and 5) suggests that market participants may attach excessive weight to individual economic fundamentals, which are picked as “scapegoats” to rationalize observed currency fluctuations at times when exchange rates are driven by unobservable shocks. Using novel survey data that directly measure foreign exchange scapegoats for 12 exchange rates, we find empirical ...
In:
Journal of Monetary Economics
70 (2015), 1-21
| Marcel Fratzscher, Dagfinn Rime, Lucio Sarno, Gabriele Zinna
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Excessive alcohol consumption among young people is a major public health concern. On March 1, 2010, the German state of Baden-Württemberg banned the sale of alcoholic beverages between 10 pm and 5 am at off-premise outlets (e.g., gas stations, kiosks, supermarkets). We use rich monthly administrative data from a 70% random sample of all hospitalizations during the years 2007–2011 in Germany in order ...
In:
Journal of Public Economics
123 (2015), S. 55-77
| Jan Marcus, Thomas Siedler
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This study assesses whether the international monetary system is already tri-polar by testing what we call China's ‘dominance hypothesis’, i.e. whether the renminbi already influences exchange rate and monetary policies strongly in Asia, a direct reference to the old ‘German dominance hypothesis’ which ascribed to the German mark a dominant role in Europe in the 1980s. Using a global factor model of ...
In:
The Economic Journal
124 (2014), Iss. 581, S. 1343-1370
| Marcel Fratzscher, Arnaud Mehl