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How Much Market Do Market-Based Instruments Create? An Analysis for the Case of "White" Certificates

Among the diverse economic instruments to foster energy efficiency (EE) and climate protection, tradable certificates have been investigated for renewable energy, and the EU directive on an emissions-trading scheme for CO2 certificates has been approved in 2003. In contrast, tradable energy efficiency - or "white" - certificates have only lately been considered as a market-based tool to foster EE as ...

Taking "Don't Knows" as Valid Responses: A Multiple Complete Random Imputation of Missing Data

Incomplete data is a common problem of survey research. Recent work on multiple imputation techniques has increased analysts' awareness of the biasing effects of missing data and has also provided a convenient solution. Imputation methods replace non-response with estimates of the unobserved scores. In many instances, however, non-response to a stimulus does not result from measurement problems that ...

An Empirical Analysis of Voluntary Payments for Information Goods on the Internet

This paper presents results from a field study on voluntary contributions for an information public good provided via the Internet (an electronic newsletter for authors). Whereas the standard private provision model predicts that individuals contribute less if other individuals contribute more, we find that readers are more likely to pay the more they expect others to give. This result is consistent ...

Sectoral Heterogeneity in the Employment Effects of Job Creation Schemes in Germany

Job creation schemes (JCS) have been one important programme of active labour market policy (ALMP) in Germany for a long time. They aim at the re-integration of hard-to-place unemployed individuals into regular employment. A thorough microeconometric evaluation of these programmes was hindered by the fact, that available survey datasets have been too small to account for a possible occurrence of effect ...

Risk Classification and Public Policy: Editorial

Estimation of Multinomial Logit Models with Unobserved Heterogeneity Using Maximum Simulated Likelihood

In this paper, we suggest a Stata routine for multinomial logit models. - with unobserved heterogeneity using maximum simulated likelihood based on. - Halton sequences. The purpose of this paper is twofold. First, we describe the. - technical implementation of the estimation routine and discuss its properties. Further,. - we compare our estimation routine with the Stata program gllamm, which. - solves ...

Home-Market and Factor-Endowment Effects in a Gravity Approach

This paper shows how the home-market effect can be estimated in the generalized gravity equation of Bergstrand, taking into account traditional comparative advantage effects arising from differences in factor endowment. The empirical results suggest the presence of significant home-market effects for differentiated goods in many manufacturing industries which may be capital intensive or labour intensive. ...

When Do Forecasters Disagree? An Assessment of German Growth and Inflation Forecast Dispersion

Based on a panel of German professional forecasts for 1970-2004 we analyse the dispersion of growth and inflation forecasts. Forecast dispersion varies over time and is particularly high before and during recessions. There is no clear link between forecast dispersion and the subsequent forecast error. Forecast dispersion is positively correlated with the volatility of macroeconomic variables, but not ...

Ökonomie(sierung) und Bildung: Plädoyer für ein entspannteres Verhältnis

Do Eurozone Countries Cheat with Their Budget Deficit Forecasts?

The authors assess the political economy determinants of budget deficit forecast errors. Their econometric analysis indicates that Eurozone governments have manipulated deficit forecasts before elections since the introduction of the Stability and Growth Pact. The left-right position and the institutional design of governments also affect the quality of deficit forecasts.