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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This paper shows that bank liquidity regulation may be a "double-edged sword." Under certain conditions, it may hamper, rather than strengthen, a bank’s resilience to financial stress. The reason is the existence of two opposing effects of liquidity regulation, a liquidity effect and a solvency effect. The liquidity effect arises because a bank mitigates its risk of illiquidity when it increases its ...
In:
International Journal of Central Banking
11 (2015), 4, S. 129-168
| Philipp König
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
We argue that the vast bulk of movements in aggregate real economic activity during the Great Recession were due to financial frictions. We reach this conclusion by looking through the lens of an estimated New Keynesian model in which firms face moderate degrees of price rigidities, no nominal rigidities in wages, and a binding zero lower bound constraint on the nominal interest rate. Our model does ...
In:
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
7 (2015), 1, S. 110-167
| Lawrence J. Christiano, Martin S. Eichenbaum, Mathias Trabandt
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This paper develops a new methodology for estimating both the automatic and discretionary components of fiscal policy in one reaction function using the differences between real-time and ex post data. Discretionary policy should respond to information available to the policy maker at the time (real-time data), whereas automatic fiscal policy should respond to the true state of the economy at the time ...
In:
Macroeconomic Dynamics
19 (2015), Iss. 1, S. 221-243
| Kerstin Bernoth, Andrew Hughes Hallet, John Lewis
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Does the structure of banking markets affect macroeconomic volatility and, if yes, is this link different in low-income countries? In this paper, we explore the channels through which the structure of banking markets affects macroeconomic volatility. Our research has three main findings. First, we study whether idiosyncratic volatility at the bank level can impact aggregate volatility. We find weak ...
In:
Pacific Economic Review
20 (2015), 1, S. 73-100
| Franziska Bremus, Claudia M. Buch
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Are capital controls and macroprudential measures related to international exposures successful in achieving their objectives? Assessing their effectiveness is complicated by selection bias; countries which change their capital-flow management measures (CFMs) often share specific characteristics and are responding to changes in variables that the CFMs are intended to influence. This paper addresses ...
In:
Journal of International Economics
96 (2015), Suppl. 1, S. S76-S97
| Kristin Forbes, Marcel Fratzscher, Roland Straub
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This paper investigates the usefulness of the money demand relationship in times of unconventional monetary policies by cointegration methods. Our empirical evidence shows the existence of stable long run money demand functions even in the period of interest rates near the zero bound, both for the US economy and the euro area. Evidence is based on standard monetary aggregates, i.e. MZM for the US and ...
In:
Journal of Macroeconomics
46 (2015), S. 40-54
| Christian Dreger, Jürgen Wolters
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This paper argues that counter-cyclical liquidity hoarding by financial intermediaries may strongly amplify business cycles. It develops a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model in which banks operate subject to agency problems and funding liquidity risk in their intermediation activity. Importantly, the amount of liquidity reserves held in the financial sector is determined endogenously: Balance ...
In:
Journal of Banking & Finance
54 (2015), S. 192-207
| Sören Radde
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
The paper analyzes the effects of changes to regulatory policy and to monetary policy on cross-border bank lending since the global financial crisis. Cross-border bank lending has decreased, and the home bias in the credit portfolio of banks has risen sharply, especially among banks in the euro area. Our results suggest that expansionary monetary policy in the source countries – as measured by the ...
In:
Journal of International Money and Finance
52 (2015), 32-59
| Franziska Bremus, Marcel Fratzscher
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
The use of log-transformed data has become standard in macroeconomic forecasting with VAR models. However, its appropriateness in the context of out-of-sample forecasts has not yet been exposed to a thorough empirical investigation. With the aim of filling this void, a broad sample of VAR models is employed in a multi-country set up and approximately 42 million pseudo-out-of-sample forecasts of GDP ...
In:
Economics Letters
126 (2015), S. 40-42
| Johannes Mayr, Dirk Ulbricht
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Patterns in cross-border banking have changed since the global financial crisis. This may affect domestic bank market structures and macroeconomic stability in the longer term. In this study, I theoretically and empirically analyze how different modes of cross-border banking impact bank concentration and market power. I use a two-country general equilibrium model with heterogeneous banks developed ...
In:
Journal of Banking & Finance
50 (2015), S. 242-259
| Franziska M. Bremus