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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
According to the literature on traditional banking, lenders often discriminate against female borrowers. However, studies of Peer-to-Peer lending in the United States find that female borrowers have better chances of obtaining funds than do males. We provide evidence on the success of female borrowers at a large German peer-to-peer lending platform. Our results show that there is no effect of gender ...
In:
German Economic Review
15 (2014), 4, S. 436-452
| Nataliya Barasinska, Dorothea Schäfer
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
We examine the effects of an airport expansion on the prices of houses and apartments located under the planned flight paths. We focus on the role of expectations of aircraft noise during the expansion of Berlin-Brandenburg International Airport. The publication of the flight paths can be seen as an exogenous event. It provides local residents and potential home buyers with reliable information in ...
In:
The Annals of Regional Science
52 (2014), 3, 763-797
| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Andreas Mense
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This paper examines the stability of money demand and the forecasting performances of a broad monetary aggregate (M3), excess liquidity and excess inflation in predicting euro area inflation. The out-of sample forecasting performances are compared to a widely used alternative, the spread of interest rates. The results indicate that the evolution of M3 is still in line with money demand, even when observations ...
In:
International Journal of Forecasting
30 (2014), 2, S. 303-312
| Christian Dreger, Jürgen Wolters
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
We evaluate the informational content of ex post and ex ante predictors of periods of excess stock (market) valuation. For a cross-section comprising 10 OECD economies and a time span of at most 40 years, alternative binary chronologies of price bubble periods are determined. Using these chronologies as dependent processes and a set of macroeconomic and financial variables as explanatory variables, ...
In:
Journal of Forecasting
33 (2014), 1, S. 15-31
| Helmut Herwartz, Konstantin A. Kholodilin
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This paper studies welfare effects of a soft borrowing constraint on sovereign debt. The constraint is modeled as a proportional fine per unit of debt in excess of a specified reference value, resembling features of the Stability and Growth Pact. Sovereign debt is the result of myopic fiscal policy. It reduces welfare in the absence of lump-sum taxes. The paper shows that the borrowing constraint enhances ...
In:
Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control
38 (2014), S. 250-265
| Malte Rieth
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Households can rely on private savings or on public unemployment insurance to hedge against the risk of becoming unemployed. These hedging mechanisms are used differently across countries. In this paper, we use a life cycle model to study the effects of unemployment on the portfolio choice of households in the US and in Germany. We distinguish short- and long-term unemployment and find that, in case ...
In:
Journal of Macroeconomics
40 (2014), S. 90-113
| Franziska Bremus, Vladimir Kuzin
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
The Chinese economic development affects GDP growth and inflation in the advanced countries. The size of the effects is inferred from multivariate time series and structural econometric methods. In particular, the GVAR and the NiGEM are employed to examine the interdependencies between the business cycles in China and industrial countries, including the US, the euro area and Japan. Evidence is based ...
In:
Economic Modelling
38 (2014), S. 184-189
| Christian Dreger, Yanqun Zhang
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Bank debt guarantees have traditionally been viewed as costless measures to prevent bank runs. However, as recent experiences in some European countries have demonstrated, guarantees may link the coordination problems of bank and sovereign creditors and induce a functional interdependence between the likelihoods of a government default and bank illiquidity. Employing a global-game approach, we model ...
In:
Journal of Banking & Finance
45 (2014), S. 321-337
| Philipp König, Kartik Anand, Frank Heinemann
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
In this paper, the authors construct country-specific chronologies of the house price bubbles for 12 OECD countries over the period 1969:Q1-2009:Q4. These chronologies are obtained using a combination of a fundamental approach and a filter approach. The resulting speculative bubble chronology is the one which provides the highest concordance between these two techniques. In addition, the authors suggest ...
In:
Economics
7 (2013), 9, 26 S.
| Christian Dreger, Konstantin A. Kholodilin
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
We analyze the relationship between asset prices and the trade balance estimating a Bayesian VAR for a broad set of 38 industrialized and emerging market countries. To derive model-based identifying restrictions, we model asset price shocks as news shocks about future productivity in a two-country dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model. Such shocks are found to exert sizable effects on the trade ...
In:
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
45 (2013), 7, S. 1211-1251
| Marcel Fratzscher, Roland Straub