Vortrag
Regional versus Bilateral Cost Sharing in Electricity Transmission Expansion

Hans Nylund, Jonas Egerer


29th Annual Congress of the European Economic Association : EEA 2014
Toulouse, Frankreich, 25.08.2014 - 29.08.2014




Abstract:
The costs of cross-border transmission links have traditionally been shared equally between the two involved countries. However, capacity expansions are likely to create positive and negative externalities on a larger scale for all countries in a meshed electricity network. In this paper we compare a regional cost sharing framework (i.e., proportional allocation) to the traditional bilateral framework (i.e., equal allocation) with respect to the effects on welfare and grid capacity. The analysis combines a numerical optimisation model of the electricity market and a game-theoretical representation of the choices made by TSOs on capacity expansions. The model includes a stylised electricity system representing six European countries. Results show that the consideration of load-flow patterns compared to directed flows reduces the number of stable outcomes. The expansion game does not converge to one unique outcome, but to a set of stable outcomes. Regional cost sharing by the proportional rule gives stable outcomes that on average include more investments and are closer to the system-wide welfare optimum compared to bilateral equal sharing. A regional framework for cost sharing of transmission investments should therefore be considered as part of the solution to the problems of insufficient cross-border transmission capacity, which has been identified as a major issue in the development of the European electricity market.

Abstract

The costs of cross-border transmission links have traditionally been shared equally between the two involved countries. However, capacity expansions are likely to create positive and negative externalities on a larger scale for all countries in a meshed electricity network. In this paper we compare a regional cost sharing framework (i.e., proportional allocation) to the traditional bilateral framework (i.e., equal allocation) with respect to the effects on welfare and grid capacity. The analysis combines a numerical optimisation model of the electricity market and a game-theoretical representation of the choices made by TSOs on capacity expansions. The model includes a stylised electricity system representing six European countries. Results show that the consideration of load-flow patterns compared to directed flows reduces the number of stable outcomes. The expansion game does not converge to one unique outcome, but to a set of stable outcomes. Regional cost sharing by the proportional rule gives stable outcomes that on average include more investments and are closer to the system-wide welfare optimum compared to bilateral equal sharing. A regional framework for cost sharing of transmission investments should therefore be considered as part of the solution to the problems of insufficient cross-border transmission capacity, which has been identified as a major issue in the development of the European electricity market.


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