Die Hochkonjunktur in Deutschland ist vorüber, eine Rezession, droht indes nicht: Trotz der jüngst schwächeren Konjunktur, dürfte die Wirtschaft in diesem Jahr um 1,0 Prozent, wachsen. Eine tragende Säule bleibt der Konsum: Im Jahresdurchschnitt, wird die Zahl der Arbeitnehmerinnen und Arbeitnehmer, wohl um knapp eine halbe Million steigen. Die Inflation, dämpft mit 1,5 Prozent die Kaufkraft kaum; ...
The Macroeconomics Department analyses macroeconomic relationships using empirical and theoretical methods. The department's research focuses on the central topic of macroeconomics and inequality and includes analyses of monetary and fiscal policy, green macroeconomics, and nowcasts and forecasts of income distributions of private households based on the SOEP. A particular focus is placed on the...
This course provides an ideal complement for the BSE short course from Prof. Christian Bayer on "Business Cycle Models with Heterogeneous Agents". Please register with Juliane at jmetzner@diw.de, if you are interested.
Den heutigen Equal Pay Day, der auf den Verdienstunterschied zwischen Männern und Frauen aufmerksam macht, kommentiert Elke Holst, Leiterin der Forschungsgruppe Gender Studies am DIW Berlin, wie folgt:
The current global economic environment remains harsh. Global growth rates stagnated in the fourth quarter of 2018, particularly affected by foreign trade. DIW Berlin’s forecast indicates global economic growth of 3.7 percent for 2019 and 3.6 percent for 2020. Positive stimuli are expected from catch-up effects (in the European automobile industry, for example) and the continued positive development ...
Although the economic boom in Germany is over, a recession is not looming. The economy is still expected to grow by 1.0 percent this year despite its recent weaker performance. Consumption remains a mainstay of the economy; the average annual increase in the number of employees is likely to be just under half a million. At 1.5 percent, inflation is barely dampening purchasing power and together with ...
