-
Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
The use of log-transformed data has become standard in macroeconomic forecasting with VAR models. However, its appropriateness in the context of out-of-sample forecasts has not yet been exposed to a thorough empirical investigation. With the aim of filling this void, a broad sample of VAR models is employed in a multi-country set up and approximately 42 million pseudo-out-of-sample forecasts of GDP ...
In:
Economics Letters
126 (2015), S. 40-42
| Johannes Mayr, Dirk Ulbricht
-
Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Despite numerous studies on skill development, we know little about the effects of extracurricular music activities on cognitive and non-cognitive skills. This study examines how music training during childhood and youth affects the development of cognitive skills, school grades, personality, time use and ambition using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). Our findings suggest that adolescents ...
In:
Economics of Education Review
44 (2015), S. 56–82
| Adrian Hille, Jürgen Schupp
-
Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Patterns in cross-border banking have changed since the global financial crisis. This may affect domestic bank market structures and macroeconomic stability in the longer term. In this study, I theoretically and empirically analyze how different modes of cross-border banking impact bank concentration and market power. I use a two-country general equilibrium model with heterogeneous banks developed ...
In:
Journal of Banking & Finance
50 (2015), S. 242-259
| Franziska M. Bremus
-
Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
We re-examine the dynamic relations between stock prices and macroeconomic fundamentals for six major industrialized countries in the wake of the recent financial crisis. Our analysis is based on a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model, which relies on a long-run restriction to identify fundamental and non-fundamental shocks to stock prices. This paper is the first in this line of literature ...
In:
Journal of Economics and Business
80 (2015), S. 1-20
| Anton Velinov, Wenjuan Chen
-
Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This article analyzes the coordination of congestion management in the electricity grid and identifies the benefits from closer cooperation among Transmission System Operators. Mimicking the German situation with four Transmission System Operators in charge of relieving grid congestion, in particular by redispatch of power plants, we set up a model with shared transmission network constraints. Through ...
In:
Utilities Policy
37 (2015), S. 34-45
| Friedrich Kunz, Alexander Zerrahn
-
Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
Financial literacy predicts informed financial decisions, but what explains financial literacy? We use the concept of financial socialization and aim to represent three major agents of financial socialization: family, school and work. Thus we compile twelve relevant childhood characteristics in a new survey study and examine their relation to financial literacy, while controlling for established socio-demographic ...
In:
Journal of Economic Psychology
51 (2015), S. 114-133
| Antonia Grohmann, Roy Kouwenberg, Lukas Menkhoff
-
Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
When there are more than two parties, policy outcomes are typically the result of a bargaining process. We investigate whether changes in political power for various parties have an effect on tax policies. We use an instrumental variable approach where close elections provide the exogenous variation in our variable of interest: voting power. In order to isolate close elections in a proportional election ...
In:
European Economic Review
80 (2015), S. 310-328
| Ronny Freier, Christian Odendahl
-
Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
We study how international migration changes the private transfers made between households in the migrant sending communities of developing countries. A priori, it is indeterminate whether migration and remittances strengthen or weaken the degree of private transfers in these communities. From a policy perspective, public income redistribution programs would have an important role to play if migration ...
In:
Journal of Comparative Economics
43 (2015), S. 690-705
| Tanika Chakraborty, Bakhrom Mirkasimov, Susan Steiner
-
Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This paper argues that the development of energy systems rests on a combination of three different domains of socio-economic processes and associated modes of decision-making. For shorthand these are termed ‘satisficing’, ‘optimising’, and ‘transforming’ domains, with corresponding underpinnings found in behavioural, neoclassical, and evolutionary economics respectively. Each domain operates at different ...
In:
Technological Forecasting & Social Change
98 (2015), S. 290-302
| Michael Grubb, Jean-Charles Hourcade, Karsten Neuhoff
-
Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This paper investigates the mechanisms behind the health effects of retirement. Using a Regression Discontinuity Design to exploit financial incentives in the German pension system for identification, I find that retirement improves subjective health status and mental health, while also reducing outpatient care utilization. I explore a wide range of health behaviors, time use, and effect heterogeneity ...
In:
Journal of Health Economics
43 (2015), S. 1-12
| Peter Eibich