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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This article compares women's and men's economic relations in East and West Germany following the 1990 reunification to exemplify the impact of varying opportunity structures on women's relative contribution to family income. West Germany's takeover set in motion a rapid transformation of East German institutions and employment structures. The analysis shows that women in West Germany became less dependent ...
In:
Feminist Economics
12 (2006), 4, S. 643-665
| Heike Trappe, Annemette Soerensen
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This paper analyzes the determinants of German exports to the euro area, which is the biggest market for German products. Three conditional error-correction models based on regionally disaggregated data are developed. One specification includes EMU industrial production and a real external value based on consumer prices, the other two use different EMU investment aggregates, the orresponding real external ...
In:
Empirical Economics
31 (2006), 4, S. 871-882
| Sabine Stephan
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
In this article, we analyse the effects of emissions trading in Europe, with special reference to Germany. We look at the value of the flexibility gained by trading compared to fixed quotas. The analysis is undertaken with a modified version of the GTAP-E model using the latest GTAP version 6 database. It is based on the national allocation plans (NAP) as submitted to and approved by the EU. We find ...
In:
Climate Policy
6 (2006), 4, S. 441-455
| Claudia Kemfert, Michael Kohlhaas, Truong P. Truong, Artem Protsenko
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
It is European Commission policy to charge modes of transport according to the marginal social cost of their use of the infrastructure, including environmental costs. However, progress in implementing this process has been slow, partly because of the difficulty of measuring and valuing these costs. This need has led to a great deal of research in this area in recent years. The paper presents the results ...
In:
Transport Reviews
26 (2006), 4, S. 389-415
| Peter Bickel, Rainer Friedrich, Heike Link, Louise Stewart, Chris Nash
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
A wildly discussed shortcoming of panel surveys is a potential bias arising from selective attrition. Based on data of the German Socio-Economic Panel Study (SOEP), the authors analyze potential artifacts (level, structure, income inequality) by comparing results for two independently drawn panel subsamples started in 1984 and 2000. They apply ANOGI (analysis of Gini) techniques, the equivalent of ...
In:
Sociological Methods & Research
34 (2006), 4, S. 427-468
| Joachim R. Frick, Jan Goebel, Edna Schechtman, Gert G. Wagner, Shlomo Yitzhaki
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This study compares several specifications of discrete choice labour supply estimations on basis of the German Socio Economic Panel. The results suggest that despite the restrictive assumptions of the error terms the conditional logit model provides an adequate model choice for the analysis of labour supply functions. Significance tests, which are based on bootstrapped confidence intervals, show that ...
In:
Applied Economics Letters
13 (2006), 4, S. 251-256
| Peter Haan
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
As a dependent variable, party choice did not lend itself to analysis by means of powerful multivariate methods until the coming of discrete-choice models, most notably conditional logit and multinomial logit. These methods involve estimating effects on party preferences (utilities) that are post hoc derived from the data, but such estimates are plagued by a number of difficulties. These difficulties ...
In:
Electoral Studies
25 (2006), 3, S. 424-447
| Cees van der Eijk, Wouter van der Brug, Martin Kroh, Mark Franklin
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
This paper performs a comparative analysis of estimation as well as of out-of-sample forecasting results of more than 20 estimators common in the panel data literature using the data on migration to Germany from 18 source countries in the period 1967-2001. Our results suggest that the choice of an estimation procedure has a substantial impact on the parameter estimates of the migration function. Out-of-sample ...
In:
Empirical Economics
31 (2006), 3, S. 735-754
| Boriss Siliverstovs, Herbert Brücker
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
In this paper we perform a comparative study of the forecasting properties of the about 30 alternative leading indicators for Germany using the growth rates of German real GDP. In addition to them, we have constructed a diffusion index based on the principal component analysis and including 145 component series that reflect all the facets of German economy. We use the post-unification data which cover ...
In:
Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik
226 (2006), 3, S. 234-259
| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Boriss Silverstovs
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Referierte Aufsätze Web of Science
We analyse forecasts of professional forecasters for Germany regarding the time span from 1970 to 2004. This novel panel data set renders it possible to assess the accuracy and efficiency of growth and inflation forecasts more efficiently than in previous studies. We argue that the forecasts are, on average, unbiased and weakly - but not strongly - efficient. Using model confidence sets suggested by ...
In:
Empirical Economics
31 (2006), 3, S. 777-798
| Jörg Döpke, Ulrich Fritsche