Externe referierte Aufsätze

Private Savings and Transition: Dynamic Panel Data Evidence from Accession Countries

After the collapse in the early transition years, saving rates in Eastern European EU-accession countries have recovered strongly. But is private saving in these countries now driven by the same forces as in the EU? A GMM estimator is applied to analyze the determinants of private saving in both country groups. The main results are: saving rates are rather persistent; income growth increases saving, ...

Prediction of Business Cycle Turning Points in Germany

Using a binary reference series based on the dating procedure of Artis, Kontolemis and Osborn (1997) different procedures for predicting turning points of the German business cycles were tested. Specifically, a probit model as proposed by Estrella and Mishkin (1997) as well as Markov-switching models were taken into consideration. The overall results indicate that the interest rate spread, the real ...

Methodological Advances in National Travel Surveys: Mobility in Germany 2002

In Germany, a National Travel Survey was conducted in 2002. The paper describes the process needed to make empirical-based decisions on the main design characteristics of the survey. It outlines the survey operation used in the field during 2002, reports on the relevance of different contact strategies to minimize selectivity and non-response, and refers to issues of data processing and of dissemination ...

Alternative Measures of the Explanatory Power of General Multivariate Regression Models

In this paper R 2-type measures of the explanatory power of multivariate linear and categorical probit models proposed in the literature are reviewed and their deficiencies discussed. It is argued that a measure of the explanatory power should take into account the components which are explicitly modelled when a regression model is estimated while it should be indifferent to components not explicitly ...

Economic Impact Assessment of Climate Change: A Multi-Gas Investigation with WIAGEM-GTAPEL-ICM

Induced Technological Change in a Multi-Regional, Multi-Sectoral, Integrated Asessment Model (WIAGEM): Impact Assessment of Climate Policy Strategies

This paper illustrates the representation of induced technological change in the multi-regional, multi-sectoral integrated assessment model WIAGEM. The main aim of the paper is to investigate quantitatively the economic impacts of climate policy measures due to the induced technological changes that are considered. Improved technological innovations are triggered by increased R&D expenditures that ...

Interactions between Climate and Trade Policies: A Survey

Incentives for Basic Research in a Large Institution: Some General Considerations and a Case Study

Discusses incentives for basic research, which were recently introduced in the German Institute for Economic Research, including both team and individual incentives. Possible problems arise from focussing on the measurable, crowding out intrinsic motivation and undesirable externalities. Furthermore, provides survey evidence on the perception of the incentives by the institute's researchers.

Insider Privatisation and Restructuring Incentives

In the literature on privatisation and restructuring it is a generally held belief that manager owned firms will be restructured more rigorously than worker owned companies. This gives the clear recommendation that property rights and control rights should be allocated to managers in the process of (insider-) privatisation. One of the implied arguments is, that managers' career concerns will make them ...

Stricter Enforcement May Increase Tax Evasion

This paper shows that stricter enforcement may increase tax evasion. Individuals vote on a linear income tax, which is used to finance lump sum transfers. Individuals may evade taxes, but they have to pay fines when caught. Stricter enforcement may make redistributive taxation more attractive to the decisive voter. The tax rate and transfer may rise, which in turn may increase tax evasion. The paper ...

Expert Opinion Leaders' Impact on Voter Turnout: The Case of the Internet Chess Match Kasparov vs. World

This paper investigates empirically for the first time the impact of experts' agreement on voter turnout. Data were obtained when voters, advised by four independent experts, had to decide on the next move against a chess world champion. Analyzing total voter turnout as well as individual voters' behavior in a panel data subsample, and employing OLS median and ARMAX regression techniques, we find that ...

Respondent Behavior in Panel Studies: A Case Study for Income Nonresponse by Means of the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP)

Many validation studies deal with item nonresponse and measurement error in earnings data. In this article, the author explores respondents' motives for failing to revealearnings using the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). The SOEP collects socioeconomic information from private households in the Federal Republic of Germany.The author explains the evolution of income nonresponse in the SOEP and demonstrates ...

Misleading Indicators? The Argentinean Currency Crisis

Despite the fact that Argentina has been suffering from recession for years, the timing and severity of the recent currency crisis surprised most observers. There is an extensive literature on early warning systems, which claim to be apt for a systematical prediction of currency crises. One of the most prominent "early warning system" approaches was first developed by Kaminsky, Lizondo, and Reinhart ...

Regional Productivity Differences: Theoretical Predictions and Empirical Evidence for Western Europe

Zur Bedeutung von Interviewereffekten im Sozio-ökonomischen Panel (SOEP): Eine Analyse mit Hilfe Kumulierter Logits

Employer Learning and the Returns to Schooling

Theoretical models of employer learning suggest that an employee's education is an important signal to the employer initially. Over time, however, the returns to schooling should decrease with labor market experience and increase with initially unobserved ability, since the employer gradually obtains better information on the productivity of an employee. Replicating US studies using a large German ...

Kinderbetreuung und Fertilität in Deutschland

Der Einfluss von Persönlichkeitseigenschaften und sozialen Ressourcen auf die Arbeitslosigkeitsdauer

Acceptability of Transport Pricing Measures amongst Public and Professionals in Europe

Transport pricing has been an actively debated topic in the European Union for a number of years. This debate has been stimulated both by the European Commission policy and by a multitude of national policy initiatives. A central theme in this debate is the issue of the public and (linked to this) political acceptability of pricing measures. Indeed, concerns about acceptability now constitute the most ...

Occupational Choice across Generations

There are few studies on occupational choices in Germany, and second-generation occupational choice and mobility has been investigated even less. Such research is important because occupations determine success in the labor market. In a country like Germany, occupations also reflect a general socio-economic standing. This paper looks at the patterns of employment in Germany, analyzes how individual ...